Birmingham City vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 27
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.00
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
110
Shots on Goal
30
Shots off Goal
20
Blocked Shots
60
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
70
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Free Kicks
2115
Offsides
10
Fouls
1521
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2624
Touches in the Opposition Box
170
Passes
81% (400/493)75% (266/354)
Passes in the final third
57% (75/131)53% (50/95)
Crosses
20% (6/30)20% (1/5)
Tackles
87% (20/23)81% (17/21)
Clearances Total
1946
Interceptions
810

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', Woods R. 🟨,
  • 34', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 36', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Laird E. , May A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 61', Richards J. , Magennis J. ,
  • 61', McDonald K. , Colwill J. ,
  • 61', Stansfield J. , Yokoyama A. ,
  • 62', Wright S. , Dykes L. ,
  • 69', Harper V. 🟨,
  • 73', Mitchell D. , Jones P. ,
  • 74', Alli M. , Aitchison J. ,
  • 83', May A. , Bielik K. ,
  • 85', Harper V. , Niskanen I. ,
  • 90+14', 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
65.4%
Draw
21.3%
Exeter City
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 18.9% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73% 18.3% 10%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.
  • Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Birmingham City - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.33)
    4.43
    (4.98)
    7.06
    (9.15)
    6.4%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Exeter City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).
    • Birmingham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Exeter have a series of home games.
    • In this match Birmingham is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Exeter City were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Exeter City - Birmingham City 1:2
    26.11.2024 Exeter City - Birmingham City 0:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship