Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bristol Rovers - Exeter City
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 42
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
69% (268/386)68% (209/307)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.82
Total shots
155
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2316
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
69% (268/386)68% (209/307)
Long passes
41% (28/68)29% (24/84)
Passes in final third
53% (78/148)44% (40/91)
Crosses
29% (7/24)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.07
Fouls
1315
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6546
Clearances Total
1340
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.820.62
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ,
  • 32', McDonald K. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Cole R. , McMillan J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ward G. , Thomas L. ,
  • 46', Butcher M. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 56', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 58', Cole R. , Colwill J. ,
  • 58', McDonald K. , Woods R. ,
  • 58', Yogane T. , Harper V. ,
  • 69', Swinkels S. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 69', O'Donkor G. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Sotiriou R. ,
  • 74', Watts C. , Francis E. ,
  • 79', Whitworth J. 🟨,
  • 85', Cox S. , MacDonald A. ,
  • 87', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sawyers R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
42.9%
Draw
30%
Exeter City
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 26.9% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 24.9% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bristol Rovers - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (3.05)
    3.14
    (3.49)
    3.44
    (2.21)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Exeter City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DNB - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bristol Rovers will win (58 of 65 users predict this - 89.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.69%96.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
    • Bristol Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:35 (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Exeter City were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 3:1
    29.10.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 2:3
    03.02.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 0:1
    23.01.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 0:1
    29.12.2022 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 3:4
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two