Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bristol Rovers - Exeter City
Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 42
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
69% (268/386)68% (209/307)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.82
Total shots
155
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
2316
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
69% (268/386)68% (209/307)
Long passes
41% (28/68)29% (24/84)
Passes in final third
53% (78/148)44% (40/91)
Crosses
29% (7/24)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.07
Fouls
1315
Tackles
36% (5/14)56% (10/18)
Duels won
6546
Clearances Total
1340
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.820.62
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ,
  • 32', McDonald K. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Cole R. , McMillan J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ward G. , Thomas L. ,
  • 46', Butcher M. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 56', Watts C. 🟨,
  • 58', Cole R. , Colwill J. ,
  • 58', McDonald K. , Woods R. ,
  • 58', Yogane T. , Harper V. ,
  • 69', Swinkels S. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 69', O'Donkor G. , Dewsbury O. ,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Sotiriou R. ,
  • 74', Watts C. , Francis E. ,
  • 79', Whitworth J. 🟨,
  • 85', Cox S. , MacDonald A. ,
  • 87', McMillan J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sawyers R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
42.9%
Draw
30%
Exeter City
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 26.9% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 24.9% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.
  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bristol Rovers - Exeter City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (3.05)
    3.14
    (3.49)
    3.44
    (2.21)
    6.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Exeter City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • DNB - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bristol Rovers will win (58 of 65 users predict this - 89.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.69%96.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
    • Bristol Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D. (Knee Injury) Sweeney P. (Calf Injury) Trevitt R. (Hamstring Injury) Wildschut Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J. (Inactive)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:35 (average 1.5:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Exeter City were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 3:1
    29.10.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 2:3
    03.02.2024 Exeter City - Bristol Rovers 0:1
    23.01.2024 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 0:1
    29.12.2022 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 3:4
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Exeter City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Luton11001:013
    2Stockport County00000:000
    3Bolton00000:000
    4Reading00000:000
    5Wigan00000:000
    6Barnsley00000:000
    7Blackpool00000:000
    8Cardiff00000:000
    9Plymouth00000:000
    10Doncaster00000:000
    11Huddersfield00000:000
    12Leyton Orient00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two