Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 42
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.81 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
69% (268/386) | 68% (209/307) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.81 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.62 | 0.82 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 16 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
69% (268/386) | 68% (209/307) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (28/68) | 29% (24/84) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (78/148) | 44% (40/91) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (7/24) | 29% (2/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.93 | 1.07 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
36% (5/14) | 56% (10/18) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 46 |
Clearances Total |
---|
13 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.82 | 0.62 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.18 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ⚽,
- 32', McDonald K. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Cole R. ⚽, McMillan J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ward G. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 46', Butcher M. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 56', Watts C. 🟨,
- 58', Cole R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 58', McDonald K. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 58', Yogane T. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 69', Swinkels S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
- 69', O'Donkor G. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Sotiriou R. ⚽,
- 74', Watts C. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
- 79', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 85', Cox S. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
- 87', McMillan J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sawyers R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers 42.9% | Draw 30% | Exeter City 27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bristol Rovers - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (3.05) |
3.14 ↓ (3.49) |
3.44 ↑ (2.21) |
6.3% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Exeter City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DNB - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bristol Rovers will win
(58 of 65 users predict this - 89.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.69% – 96.77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
- Bristol Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K.
(Knee Injury)
Martin C.
(Injury)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D.
(Knee Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:35 (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Exeter City?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Bristol Rovers?
Exeter City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Exeter City were as follows:
26.12.2024
Exeter City
-
Bristol Rovers
3:1
29.10.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
2:3
03.02.2024
Exeter City
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
23.01.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
0:1
29.12.2022
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
3:4
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two