Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 42
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (268/386) | 68% (209/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (268/386) | 68% (209/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/68) | 29% (24/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (78/148) | 44% (40/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ⚽,
- 32', McDonald K. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Cole R. ⚽, McMillan J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ward G. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 46', Butcher M. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 56', Watts C. 🟨,
- 58', Cole R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 58', McDonald K. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 58', Yogane T. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 69', Swinkels S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
- 69', O'Donkor G. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Sotiriou R. ⚽,
- 74', Watts C. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
- 79', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 85', Cox S. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
- 87', McMillan J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sawyers R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
42.9% | Draw
30% | Exeter City
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bristol Rovers - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(3.05) |
3.14 ↓
(3.49) |
3.44 ↑
(2.21) |
6.3%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Exeter City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.57) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Bristol Rovers (1.59) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Bristol Rovers (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bristol Rovers will win
(58 of 65 users predict this - 89.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.69% – 96.77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 37 - 92.5%). Exeter (votes: 2 - 5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
- Bristol Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K.
(Knee Injury)
Martin C.
(Injury)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D.
(Knee Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:35 (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Exeter City?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Bristol Rovers?
Exeter City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Exeter City were as follows:
26.12.2024
Exeter City
-
Bristol Rovers
3:1
29.10.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
2:3
03.02.2024
Exeter City
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
23.01.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
0:1
29.12.2022
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
3:4
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
