Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 42
- Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (268/386) | 68% (209/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (268/386) | 68% (209/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/68) | 29% (24/84) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (78/148) | 44% (40/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ⚽,
- 32', McDonald K. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 2, Cole R. ⚽, McMillan J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ward G. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 46', Butcher M. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 56', Watts C. 🟨,
- 58', Cole R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 58', McDonald K. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 58', Yogane T. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 69', Swinkels S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
- 69', O'Donkor G. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Sotiriou R. ⚽,
- 74', Watts C. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
- 79', Whitworth J. 🟨,
- 85', Cox S. ↓, MacDonald A. ↑,
- 87', McMillan J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sawyers R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
42.9% | Draw
30% | Exeter City
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bristol Rovers - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(3.05) |
3.14 ↓
(3.49) |
3.44 ↑
(2.21) |
6.3%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Exeter City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
- DNB - Bristol Rovers (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bristol Rovers will win
(58 of 65 users predict this - 89.23%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.69% – 96.77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol Rovers will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 1.
- Bristol Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Exeter is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Bristol Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bristol Rovers will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K.
(Knee Injury)
Martin C.
(Injury)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D.
(Knee Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:35 (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:15 (average 1.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Exeter City?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Bristol Rovers?
Exeter City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Exeter City were as follows:
26.12.2024
Exeter City
-
Bristol Rovers
3:1
29.10.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
2:3
03.02.2024
Exeter City
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
23.01.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
0:1
29.12.2022
Bristol Rovers
-
Exeter City
3:4
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Exeter City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
