Result
0:0
18/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.71 | 0.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
74% | 26% |
Total shots |
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4 | 5 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Passes |
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83% (441/533) | 54% (101/188) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.71 | 0.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.34 | 0.04 |
Total shots |
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4 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
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9 | 10 |
Through passes |
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100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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16 | 15 |
Passes |
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83% (441/533) | 54% (101/188) |
Long passes |
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28% (18/64) | 25% (16/65) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (71/112) | 35% (28/79) |
Crosses |
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15% (2/13) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.64 | 0.42 |
Fouls |
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15 | 16 |
Tackles |
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36% (5/14) | 76% (13/17) |
Duels won |
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49 | 46 |
Clearances Total |
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25 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.04 | 0.34 |
Goals prevented |
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0.04 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', McDonald K. 🟨,
- 33', Sweeney R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sraha J. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
- 55', Turns E. 🟨,
- 62', McDonald K. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 63', Cole R. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
- 64', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 72', Larsson J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 72', Francis E. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 72', Burrell R. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 73', Cox S. ↓, Oluwabori A. ↑,
- 83', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 83', Watts C. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 86', Chauke K. 🟨,
- 88', MacDonald A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City 32% | Draw 29.6% | Burton Albion 38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burton Albion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burton Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Exeter City - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.94 ↑ (2.29) |
3.2 ↓ (3.31) |
2.46 ↓ (3.04) |
6% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Burton will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 45.7% – 79.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burton Albion will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D.
(Knee Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Akoto N.
(Inactive)
Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sweeney R.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Exeter won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Burton Albion?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Exeter City?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Burton Albion were as follows:
21.12.2024
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
1:2
16.03.2024
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
1:0
02.09.2023
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
0:1
11.02.2023
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
1:0
17.09.2022
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
0:2
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two