Result
0:0
18/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (441/533) | 54% (101/188) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (441/533) | 54% (101/188) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (18/64) | 25% (16/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (71/112) | 35% (28/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', McDonald K. 🟨,
- 33', Sweeney R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sraha J. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
- 55', Turns E. 🟨,
- 62', McDonald K. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
- 63', Cole R. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
- 64', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 72', Larsson J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 72', Francis E. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
- 72', Burrell R. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
- 73', Cox S. ↓, Oluwabori A. ↑,
- 83', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 83', Watts C. ↓, Harper V. ↑,
- 86', Chauke K. 🟨,
- 88', MacDonald A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
32% | Draw
29.6% | Burton Albion
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter City's form might have worsened.Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burton Albion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Exeter City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burton Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Exeter City - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.29) |
3.2 ↓
(3.31) |
2.46 ↓
(3.04) |
6%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). Burton will win (votes: 20 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 45.7% – 79.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burton Albion will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Exeter won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Exeter: Mitchell D.
(Knee Injury)
Sweeney P.
(Calf Injury)
Trevitt R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wildschut Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Akoto N.
(Inactive)
Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Exeter: Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sweeney R.
(Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Exeter won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Burton Albion?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Exeter City?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Burton Albion were as follows:
21.12.2024
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
1:2
16.03.2024
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
1:0
02.09.2023
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
0:1
11.02.2023
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
1:0
17.09.2022
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
0:2
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Luton | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Lincoln | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Exeter | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 14 | Wigan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Northampton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Plymouth | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
| 20 | Reading | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Burton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
