Exeter City vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 17
  • Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.921.25
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
34
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
115
Passes
76% (325/425)65% (153/235)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.921.25
xG on target (xGOT)
1.310.76
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
910
Passes
76% (325/425)65% (153/235)
Long passes
33% (22/66)29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
64% (99/154)57% (52/92)
Crosses
32% (11/34)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.541.25
Throw ins
2319
Fouls
109
Tackles
60% (9/15)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
3044
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.761.31
Goals prevented
-0.240.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Wareham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', Mendes C. , Higgins A. ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Godwin-Malife U. , Evans G. (A),
  • 70', Krubally S. , McKiernan J. J. ,
  • 72', Oakes L. , Magennis J. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Magennis J. , Wareham J. (A),
  • 74', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 83', Tuterov T. , McDonald K. ,
  • 87', Evans G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Exeter City
41.3%
Draw
28%
Burton Albion
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 26.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Exeter City - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.11)
    3.34
    (3.5)
    3.03
    (3.21)
    6.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Exeter City - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 10.6%60.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Exeter (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to technical problems.
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Exeter will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Cox S. (Groin Injury) Doyle-Hayes J. (Inactive) Mendes C. (Muscle Injury) Rydel R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury) Williams D. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Burton Albion were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Exeter City - Burton Albion 0:0
    21.12.2024 Burton Albion - Exeter City 1:2
    16.03.2024 Exeter City - Burton Albion 1:0
    02.09.2023 Burton Albion - Exeter City 0:1
    11.02.2023 Burton Albion - Exeter City 1:0
    Latest results of Exeter City
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

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