Result
1:1
03/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 17
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (325/425) | 65% (153/235) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (325/425) | 65% (153/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (22/66) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (99/154) | 57% (52/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Wareham J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', Mendes C. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Godwin-Malife U. ⚽, Evans G. (A),
- 70', Krubally S. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 72', Oakes L. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Magennis J. ⚽, Wareham J. (A),
- 74', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
- 83', Tuterov T. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 87', Evans G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Exeter City
41.3% | Draw
28% | Burton Albion
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Exeter City - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.11) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
3.03 ↓
(3.21) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Exeter City - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 10.6% – 60.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Exeter (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Exeter (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to technical problems.
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Exeter will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Exeter: Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Cox S.
(Groin Injury)
Doyle-Hayes J.
(Inactive)
Mendes C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
Williams D.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Burton Albion?
Exeter City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Exeter City?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Exeter City - Burton Albion were as follows:
18.04.2025
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
0:0
21.12.2024
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
1:2
16.03.2024
Exeter City
-
Burton Albion
1:0
02.09.2023
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
0:1
11.02.2023
Burton Albion
-
Exeter City
1:0
Latest results of Exeter City
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
