Ezequiel Monferrer vs Samuel Heredia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
12/04/2026 at 13:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
35
1st serve percentage
56%65%
1st serve points won
47% (14/30)89% (25/28)
2nd serve points won
38% (9/24)33% (5/15)
Break Points Saved
8/132/2
1st return points won
11% (3/28)50% (15/30)
2nd return points won
67% (10/15)63% (15/24)
Break Points Converted
0/25/13
Winners
1012
Unforced errors
3121
Net points won
57% (4/7)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
43% (23/53)70% (30/43)
Return Points Won
30% (13/43)57% (30/53)
Total Points Won
38% (36/96)63% (60/96)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
29% (2/7)100% (7/7)
Return games won
0% (0/7)71% (5/7)
Total games won
14% (2/14)86% (12/14)

Chances of winning


Ezequiel Monferrer
35.5%
Samuel Heredia
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 69.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ezequiel Monferrer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Samuel Heredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ezequiel Monferrer than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ezequiel Monferrer that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuel Heredia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ezequiel Monferrer - Samuel Heredia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.75)

    1.45
    (1.4)
    7.4%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Monferrer is ranked ATP: 1030. Heredia is ranked ATP: 718.
    • Recent performances by Monferrer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Heredia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Monferrer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Ezequiel Monferrer
    Latest results of Samuel Heredia