Fabian Marozsan vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
64%67%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (25/29)55% (22/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
81% (13/16)40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
48% (19/40)28% (8/29)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)19% (3/16)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)0% (0/1)
Winners
1816
Unforced Errors
1323
Net Points Won
73% (8/11)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
75% (33/44)50% (30/60)
Return Points Won
50% (30/60)25% (11/44)
Total Points Won
61% (63/104)39% (41/104)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)43% (3/7)
Return Games Won
57% (4/7)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Fabian Marozsan
62.6%
Mattia Bellucci
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.
  • Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fabian Marozsan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fabian Marozsan - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.66)

    2.5
    (2.24)
    7%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Fabian Marozsan - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Bellucci will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 47.7%95.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fabian Marozsan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marozsan is ranked ATP: 80. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 71.
    • Marozsan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bellucci is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Marozsan will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fabian Marozsan
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bublik A. (8)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7De Minaur A. (5)
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15Sinner J. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2