Fabio Fognini vs Federico Coria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cagliari Challenger Men Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria
Result
Fognini F. retired
01/05/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cagliari (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Sturmer T. (Bra)

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
41%66%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)56% (22/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (20/38)65% (13/20)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
46% (18/39)54% (14/26)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (7/20)47% (18/38)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)36% (4/11)
Max Points In Row
78
Service Points Won
50% (32/64)59% (35/59)
Return Points Won
41% (24/59)50% (32/64)
Total Points Won
46% (56/123)54% (67/123)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
44% (7/16)56% (9/16)

Chances of winning


Fabio Fognini
43%
Federico Coria
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 50.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.
  • Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Coria's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.9)

    1.65
    (1.81)
    6.6%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria?
  • Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    Latest results of Fabio Fognini
    Latest results of Federico Coria
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Bye
    2Fognini F. (RET.) (Alt)Coria F.0 : 1
    3Daniel T.Ugo Carabelli C. (Alt)0 : 2
    4Tirante T. A.Darderi L. (8)1 : 2
    5Navone M. (3)Bye
    6Mochizuki S. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    7De Jong J. (Q)Nava E. (Alt)0 : 2
    8Michelsen A.Sonego L. (5)1 : 2
    9Fucsovics M. (6)Zeppieri G. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    10Piros Z. (Alt)Svajda Z. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Galan D. E.Albot R. (Alt)2 : 1
    12ByeEubanks C. (4)
    13Borges N. (7)Maestrelli F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Varillas J. P. (Alt)Nishioka Y.0 : 2
    15Diallo G. (Q)Cerundolo J. M. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMusetti L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Tiafoe F. (1)Coria F.0 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Darderi L. (8)0 : 2
    3Navone M. (3)Mochizuki S.2 : 1
    4Nava E.Sonego L. (5)2 : 0
    5Fucsovics M. (6)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    6Galan D. E.Eubanks C. (4)2 : 1
    7Borges N. (7)Nishioka Y.2 : 1
    8Cerundolo J. M.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Coria F. (RET.)Darderi L. (8)0 : 1
    2Navone M. (3)Nava E.2 : 1
    3Fucsovics M. (6)Galan D. E. (WO.)
    4Borges N. (7)Musetti L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (8)Navone M. (3)0 : 2
    2Galan D. E.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Navone M. (3)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0