Fabio Fognini vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/04/2024 at 08:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
83
1st Serve Percentage
59%53%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (40/63)56% (34/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (20/43)43% (23/54)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)40% (6/15)
1st Return Points Won
44% (27/61)37% (23/63)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (31/54)53% (23/43)
Break Points Converted
60% (9/15)31% (5/16)
Max Points In Row
69
Service Points Won
56% (59/105)50% (57/113)
Return Points Won
50% (56/113)44% (46/105)
Total Points Won
53% (115/218)47% (103/218)
Max Games In Row
84
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)40% (6/15)
Return Games Won
60% (9/15)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
62% (18/29)38% (11/29)

Chances of winning


Fabio Fognini
53.6%
Hugo Gaston
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Fabio Fognini - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.87)

    2.05
    (1.87)
    4.8%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Fabio Fognini - Hugo Gaston?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Fognini is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gaston is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Fabio Fognini
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2