Fabio Fognini vs Stefano Napolitano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Oeiras 3 Challenger Men Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano
Result
1:2
18/04/2024 at 11:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Leal M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV6

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
72%55%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (55/89)73% (38/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (14/34)53% (23/43)
Break Points Saved
76% (16/21)50% (5/10)
1st Return Points Won
27% (14/52)38% (34/89)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (20/43)59% (20/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (5/10)24% (5/21)
Max Points In Row
56
Service Points Won
56% (68/121)64% (60/94)
Return Points Won
36% (34/94)44% (53/121)
Total Points Won
47% (102/215)53% (113/215)
Max Games In Row
34
Service Games Won
71% (12/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)29% (5/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Fabio Fognini
42.7%
Stefano Napolitano
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.
  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (1.83)

    1.64
    (1.83)
    6.6%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Napolitano will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Fognini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Napolitano is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Napolitano to win the game is with odds 1.73.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fognini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano were as follows:
    31.08.2023 Fabio Fognini - Stefano Napolitano Fognini F. retired
    Latest results of Fabio Fognini
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Comesana F. (1)Elias G. (WC)2 : 1
    2Boyer T.Yevseyev D. (Q)2 : 1
    3Barrere G.van Assche L.2 : 0
    4Klein L.Travaglia S. (Q)0 : 2
    5Collignon R. (3)Kym J.2 : 0
    6Den Ouden G. (Q)Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    7Taberner C.Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    8Mochizuki S.Seyboth Wild T. (7)2 : 1
    9Royer V. (8)Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Araujo P. (WC)Bertola R. (Q)0 : 2
    11Kukushkin M.Gigante M. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Moller E.Monteiro T. (4)2 : 1
    13Lajovic D. (6)Pereira T. (WC)2 : 0
    14Blanchet U.Choinski J. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Moro Canas A. (LL)Rocha H.2 : 0
    16Blockx A.Safiullin R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Comesana F. (1)Boyer T.2 : 0
    2Barrere G.Travaglia S.2 : 0
    3Collignon R. (3)Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    4Taberner C.Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    5Royer V. (8)Bertola R.0 : 2
    6Kukushkin M.Moller E. (WO.)
    7Lajovic D. (6)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    8Moro Canas A.Safiullin R. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Comesana F. (1)Barrere G.2 : 0
    2Collignon R. (3)Taberner C.0 : 2
    3Bertola R.Moller E.0 : 2
    4Lajovic D. (RET.) (6)Safiullin R. (2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Comesana F. (1)Taberner C.2 : 0
    2Moller E.Safiullin R. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Comesana F. (1)Moller E.0 : 2