Result
2:1
09/02/2026 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 2, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 80% (48/60) | 80% (49/61) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 52% (24/46) | 53% (24/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 78% (7/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 20% (12/61) | 25% (15/60) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 48% (22/46) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 53 | 39 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 47 | 18 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (5/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (71/105) | 70% (73/105) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (32/105) | 32% (34/105) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (103/210) | 51% (107/210) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 88% (15/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (16/33) | 52% (17/33) |
Chances of winning
Blake Ellis
55.8% | Fajing Sun
44.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajing Sun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.62) |
|
2.11 ↓
(2.17) |
7.1%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun?
Users Predictions:
Blake Ellis will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Blake Ellis will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ellis is ranked ATP: 518. Sun is ranked ATP: 273.
- Ellis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sun has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ellis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Blake Ellis won against Fajing Sun?
Blake Ellis has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fajing Sun won against Blake Ellis?
Fajing Sun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun were as follows:
05.02.2026
Fajing Sun
-
Blake Ellis
0:2
Latest results of Blake Ellis
Latest results of Fajing Sun
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Mackenzie J. (LL) | Polmans M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Matsuoka H. | Delaney Ja. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Marinkov P. (WC) | Zhang Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hewitt C. (WC) | Uchiyama Y. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Mochizuki Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Sinclair C. (Q) | Hulme M. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Tu L. | Nakagawa N. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Ellis B. | Sun F. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Denolly C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Weber A. | Jorda Sanchis D. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Jasika O. | Shiraishi H. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Isomura K. (Q) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Zhou Y. (6) | Sach T. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bouzige M. | Moriya H. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Dellavedova M. (Q) | Imamura M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Daniel T. | Sweeny D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Polmans M. | Matsuoka H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhang Z. | Uchiyama Y. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Sinclair C. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tu L. | Ellis B. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Weber A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jasika O. (RET.) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Sach T. | Moriya H. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Imamura M. | Sweeny D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Matsuoka H. | Zhang Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Sakamoto R. (3) | Tu L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Blanch Dar. (8) | Bolt A. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Moriya H. | Sweeny D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Zhang Z. | Sakamoto R. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bolt A. (4) | Moriya H. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Zhang Z. | Bolt A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
