Fajing Sun vs Koki Matsuda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
64%54%
1st serve points won
83% (29/35)69% (20/29)
2nd serve points won
75% (15/20)60% (15/25)
Break Points Saved
0/06/8
1st return points won
34% (10/29)17% (6/35)
2nd return points won
40% (10/25)25% (5/20)
Break Points Converted
2/80/0
Winners
2014
Unforced errors
1428
Net points won
89% (8/9)56% (10/18)
Service Points Won
80% (44/55)64% (34/53)
Return Points Won
36% (19/53)20% (11/55)
Total Points Won
58% (63/108)42% (45/108)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
03
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Fajing Sun
59.4%
Koki Matsuda
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fajing Sun's performance.
  • Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koki Matsuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Fajing Sun - Koki Matsuda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.8)

    2.31
    (1.83)
    6.8%
    (10.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sun is ranked ATP: 264. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 530.
    • Sun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Matsuda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Fajing Sun
    Latest results of Koki Matsuda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1