Esteghlal vs Fajr Sepasi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/02/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandShabake 3

Match Stats

Yellow cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Saharkhizan S. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Sharifi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', Moradi M. , Rigi M. ,
  • 71', Saharkhizan S. , Gholizadeh E. ,
  • 71', Koushki A. , Eslami M. ,
  • 75', Sharifi M. , Babaei P. ,
  • 75', Shahabi H. , Ashouri S. ,
  • 80', Rostami Y. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Cheshmi R. , Hardani S. (A),
  • 84', Niknafs Z. , Bozorg S. ,
  • 86', Munir El Haddadi , Zamani A. ,
  • 90+6', Bozorg S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Esteghlal
58%
Draw
26.9%
Fajr Sepasi
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 28.1% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 29.8% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.6)
    3.32
    (3.2)
    5.9
    (5.7)
    12%
    (11.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 5.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Esteghlal is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 2.4:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Fajr Sepasi were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Fajr Sepasi - Esteghlal 0:3
    Latest results of Esteghlal
    Latest results of Fajr Sepasi
    Iran Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Esteghlal F.C22118329:161341
    2Tractor22109330:121839
    3Sepahan22116524:131139
    4Gol Gohar23106724:24036
    5Chadormalu2298527:19835
    6Persepolis2297623:19434
    7Foolad22710521:16531
    8Fajr Sepasi2386925:27-230
    9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:24-229
    10Malavan2278713:21-829
    11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:23-725
    12Paykan2359915:21-624
    13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:19-422
    14Aluminium Arak22571014:21-722
    15Zob Ahan21310812:19-719
    16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:29-1615

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