Fajr Sepasi vs Foolad Khuzestan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iranIranIRIB Varzesh

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Motlaghzadeh M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mousavi M. , Shahabassi S. ,
  • 61', Esmaeili F. , Motahari A. ,
  • 61', Helichi A. , Niknafs Z. ,
  • 64', Soleimani M. , Abolfazlzadeh A. ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Mahrooghi E. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 1 - 1, Bozorg S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+13', 🟨,
  • 90+14', 1 - 2, Mahrooghi E. , Asadbeigi S. (A),

Chances of winning


Fajr Sepasi
31.9%
Draw
39%
Foolad Khuzestan
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 34.7% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 33.7% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Foolad Khuzestan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foolad Khuzestan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Fajr Sepasi - Foolad Khuzestan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.64)
    2.34
    (2.68)
    3.14
    (3.08)
    9.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Fajr Sepasi - Foolad Khuzestan?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fajr Sepasi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Foolad will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 1.
    • Fajr Sepasi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Foolad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Foolad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Fajr Sepasi has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fajr Sepasi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fajr Sepasi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    Latest results of Fajr Sepasi
    Latest results of Foolad Khuzestan
    Iran Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tractor22109330:121839
    2Esteghlal F.C21108327:151238
    3Sepahan21115524:131138
    4Gol Gohar23106724:24036
    5Persepolis2297623:19434
    6Chadormalu2188525:19632
    7Fajr Sepasi2286824:25-130
    8Kheybar Khorramabad2278722:22029
    9Malavan2278713:21-829
    10Foolad21610519:16328
    11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:23-725
    12Paykan2258915:21-623
    13Shams Azar Qazvin22313615:17-222
    14Aluminium Arak22571014:21-722
    15Zob Ahan21310812:19-719
    16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:29-1615

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