Fakel-GTS Surgut vs MFK Tyumen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:5 OT
20/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 3', Carlos Augusto (G),
  • 7', Emelyanov N. (G),
  • 12', Rynochnov V. (G),
  • 19', Kazakov E. (G),
  • 19', Ghavtadze G. (G),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 21', Gordillo (G),
  • 24', Mustafin D. (G),
  • 31', Mustafin D. (G),
  • 33', Abdulkadyrov D. (G),
  • 36', Rynochnov V. (G),
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 50', (G),

Chances of winning


Fakel-GTS Surgut
20.3%
Draw
17.5%
MFK Tyumen
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.2% 18.2% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25% 19.6% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • MFK Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MFK Tyumen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MFK Tyumen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.52
    (3.92)
    5.25
    (5)
    1.48
    (1.55)
    8.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 5-5. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Tyumen is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel-GTS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 2.9:5.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fakel-GTS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 2:5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen were as follows:
    07.11.2025 MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut 5:5
    06.10.2025 Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen 1:2
    05.10.2025 Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen 2:5
    25.01.2025 MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut 7:6
    24.01.2025 Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen 3:4
    Latest results of Fakel-GTS Surgut
    Latest results of MFK Tyumen
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1TorpedoNovaja Generacija7 : 1, 4 : 1
    2YugraSintur Yekaterinburg6 : 4, 4 : 2
    3YekaterinburgIrAero3 : 2, 4 : 3
    4CPRFTZMS Tula4 : 2, 9 : 5
    5Norilsky NickelSibiryak4 : 2, 3 : 0
    6TyumenFakel-GTS5 : 6, 5 : 5
    7Kristall St. PetersburgLipetsk2 : 2, 4 : 3
    8UkhtaKuzbass Kemerovo5 : 2, 5 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1TorpedoYugra4 : 2, 2 : 3
    2YekaterinburgCPRF2 : 3, 1 : 3
    3Norilsky NickelFakel-GTS4 : 3, 4 : 1
    4Kristall St. PetersburgUkhta6 : 7, 4 : 6

    Semi-finals
    1TorpedoCPRF6 : 9, 8 : 6
    2Norilsky NickelUkhta8 : 3, 2 : 2

    Final
    1CPRFNorilsky Nickel4 : 3