MFK Tyumen vs Fakel-GTS Surgut – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
08/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SuperLiga

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', Ghavtadze G. (G),
  • 5', Belousov A. (G), Emelyanov M. (A),
  • 15', Mustafin D. (Pen),
  • 16', Bukatkin D. (G), Withama N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 27', Emelyanov M. (G),
  • 32', Nevedrov D. (G), Murashov E. (A),
  • 38', Nevedrov D. (G), Ghavtadze G. (A),
  • 40', Ghavtadze G. (G),

Chances of winning


MFK Tyumen
60.2%
Draw
18%
Fakel-GTS Surgut
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 18.5% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 23.9% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MFK Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Fakel-GTS Surgut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MFK Tyumen than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MFK Tyumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel-GTS Surgut than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.62)
    5.05
    (4.9)
    4.17
    (3.58)
    10%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 2.
    • Recent performances by Tyumen have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fakel-GTS is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fakel-GTS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Tyumen is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Tyumen will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:32. (average 4.9:3.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tyumen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:18. (average 4.8:4.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut were as follows:
    07.03.2026 MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut 3:6
    20.11.2025 Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen 6:5
    07.11.2025 MFK Tyumen - Fakel-GTS Surgut 5:5
    06.10.2025 Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen 1:2
    05.10.2025 Fakel-GTS Surgut - MFK Tyumen 2:5
    Latest results of MFK Tyumen
    Latest results of Fakel-GTS Surgut
    Russian Super Liga Futsal Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ukhta44282311211:15891
    2CPRF4225638169:9390
    3Yugra43234610156:10083
    4Yekaterinburg43252412167:12183
    5Torpedo44225215172:14578
    6Norilsky Nickel41221513148:11373
    7Tyumen41205313134:12473
    8Kristall St. Petersburg42174219133:14461
    9IrAero42152421126:13653
    10Fakel-GTS44114623125:15847
    11Novaja Generacija40125122109:14147
    12Sibiryak4282428124:19832
    13Lipetsk486213962:20523

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