Fakel vs Spartak Moscow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fakel Stadium (Voronezh).

: Premier League - Round 27
Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	0.51
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
72% (218/301)	79% (319/402)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	0.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.30	0.29
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	7
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
10	8
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
38	23
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
11	22
Passes
72% (218/301)	79% (319/402)
Long passes
49% (33/68)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
63% (76/121)	64% (72/113)
Crosses
28% (9/32)	32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.47	0.59
Throw-ins
16	17
Fouls
22	11
Tackles
69% (11/16)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
61	70
Clearances
32	35
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
0.29	0.30
Goals prevented
0.29	0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Litvinov R. 🟥,
28', Bongonda T. ↓, Abena M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zobnin R. ↓, Chernov N. ↑,
46', Ugalde M. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
48', Mertens D. 🟨,
52', Solari P. 🟨,
62', Mertens D. ↓, Lomovitskiy A. ↑,
70', Duarte A. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
73', Alshin I. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
77', Abena M. 🟨,
78', Martins Pereira C. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
89', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
90+4', Yakimov V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fakel
16%

Draw
25%

Spartak Moscow
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

26.1%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

25.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Fakel - Spartak Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↑ (5.58)	3.85 ↑ (3.77)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	3.7% (1.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fakel - Spartak Moscow?

Users Predictions: Spartak Moscow will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2.
Fakel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Spartak M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Spartak M has had a series of home games.
In this match, Spartak M is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Fakel: Kvekveskiri I. (Yellow Cards) Motpan N. (Red Card)
There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S. (Red Card) Barco E. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Spartak Moscow?

Fakel has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Fakel?

Spartak Moscow has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Spartak Moscow were as follows:

18.08.2024 Spartak Moscow - Fakel 3:0

10.03.2024 Spartak Moscow - Fakel 0:2

28.10.2023 Fakel - Spartak Moscow 2:0

11.03.2023 Spartak Moscow - Fakel 3:2

19.10.2022 Fakel - Spartak Moscow 1:2

Latest results of Fakel

27.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Fakel 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Fakel - Rostov 0:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Fakel 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Fakel - Akhmat Grozny 0:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Krasnodar - Fakel 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Spartak Moscow

29.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 2:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow 1:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Spartak Moscow 2:3 ✺

15.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Ural 3:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala 1:2 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Baltika	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Torpedo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FK Rostov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zenit	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Spartak Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	CSKA Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Lokomotiv Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dynamo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Rubin Kazan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Krylya Sovetov	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Akhmat Grozny	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Krasnodar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Pari NN	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Akron Togliatti	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Dynamo Makhachkala	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sochi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL

Which TV channels are streaming of Fakel - Spartak Moscow?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 7