Result
0:0
04/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Ziyakov R. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.51 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
72% (218/301) | 79% (319/402) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.51 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.30 | 0.29 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 22 |
Passes |
---|
72% (218/301) | 79% (319/402) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (33/68) | 42% (24/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
63% (76/121) | 64% (72/113) |
Crosses |
---|
28% (9/32) | 32% (7/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.47 | 0.59 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
22 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (11/16) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 70 |
Clearances |
---|
32 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.29 | 0.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.29 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Litvinov R. 🟥,
- 28', Bongonda T. ↓, Abena M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Zobnin R. ↓, Chernov N. ↑,
- 46', Ugalde M. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
- 48', Mertens D. 🟨,
- 52', Solari P. 🟨,
- 62', Mertens D. ↓, Lomovitskiy A. ↑,
- 70', Duarte A. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
- 73', Alshin I. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
- 77', Abena M. 🟨,
- 78', Martins Pereira C. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
- 89', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 90+4', Yakimov V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fakel 16% | Draw 25% | Spartak Moscow 59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Fakel - Spartak Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.04 ↑ (5.58) |
3.85 ↑ (3.77) |
1.63 ↓ (1.75) |
3.7% (1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fakel - Spartak Moscow?
Users Predictions:
Spartak Moscow will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2.
- Fakel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Spartak M has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Spartak M has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Spartak M is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Fakel: Kvekveskiri I.
(Yellow Cards)
Motpan N.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Red Card)
Barco E.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Spartak Moscow?
Fakel has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Fakel?
Spartak Moscow has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Spartak Moscow were as follows:
18.08.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Fakel
3:0
10.03.2024
Spartak Moscow
-
Fakel
0:2
28.10.2023
Fakel
-
Spartak Moscow
2:0
11.03.2023
Spartak Moscow
-
Fakel
3:2
19.10.2022
Fakel
-
Spartak Moscow
1:2
Latest results of Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL