América de Propriá vs Falcon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Sergipano - Round 7

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Davi ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 🟥,
  • 83', 🟥,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


América de Propriá
41.3%
Draw
33.5%
Falcon
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 29.2% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 27.8% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • América de Propriá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América de Propriá's form might have worsened.
  • Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Propriá than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América de Propriá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • América de Propriá - Falcon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.95)
    2.71
    (3.11)
    3.6
    (3.75)
    10.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8)
    • Recent performances by América de Propriá have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Falcon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • América de Propriá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • América de Propriá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Propriá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home match between the teams, América de Propriá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between América de Propriá - Falcon were as follows:
    24.02.2025 Falcon - América de Propriá 0:1
    21.02.2024 Falcon - América de Propriá 2:2
    16.02.2023 Falcon - América de Propriá 0:0
    Latest results of Falcon
    31.01.2026 Dorense - Falcon 1:0
    24.01.2026 Falcon - Sergipe 0:2
    21.01.2026 Confiança - Falcon 0:0
    16.01.2026 Falcon - Itabaiana 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Sergipe (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)America SE (6)0 : 3
    3Itabaiana (2)Falcon (7)1 : 0
    4Confianca (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sergipe (1)America SE (6)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Itabaiana (2)Confianca (4)0 : 2, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sergipe (1)Confianca (4)

    3rd place
    2Itabaiana (2)America SE (6)