Falcon vs Carmópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano Falcon - Carmópolis
Result
3:2
10/02/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Sergipano - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilIT tv Plus

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Arthur Cacule ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Thierry ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Sorriso ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, Lucas Lopes ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Lucas Lopes ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Falcon
60%
Draw
22.4%
Carmópolis
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 24.7% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.5% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falcon's performance.
  • Carmópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Falcon - Carmópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.67)
    4.07
    (3.7)
    5.16
    (4.44)
    10%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Falcon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carmópolis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Falcon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Falcon is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    • Including matches at home between the teams Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Falcon - Carmópolis were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Falcon - Carmópolis 0:0
    Latest results of Falcon
    01.02.2025 Itabaiana - Falcon 4:0
    25.01.2025 Sergipe - Falcon 0:1
    20.01.2025 Falcon - Barra SE 4:0
    16.01.2025 Falcon - Confiança 1:3
    11.01.2025 Dorense - Falcon 0:2
    Latest results of Carmópolis
    03.02.2025 Barra SE - Carmópolis 3:2
    26.01.2025 Carmópolis - Confiança 1:2
    18.01.2025 Dorense - Carmópolis 0:0
    15.01.2025 Carmópolis - Sergipe 1:2
    11.01.2025 Itabaiana - Carmópolis 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Confianca (1)Bye
    2Lagarto (3)Falcon (6)0 : 1
    3Itabaiana (2)Sergipe (7)2 : 0
    4America SE (4)Guarany SE (5)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1ConfiancaFalcon3 : 0, 2 : 1
    2ItabaianaAmerica SE1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1ConfiancaItabaiana1 : 1, 2 : 1