Retrô Brasil vs Falcon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/07/2023 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 14

Chances of winning


Retrô Brasil
35.3%
Draw
26.8%
Falcon
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.8% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 25.7% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.
  • Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falcon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+23.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falcon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Retrô Brasil - Falcon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (1.58)
    3.35
    (3.63)
    2.37
    (5)
    11.4%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Recent matches Retrô is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Falcon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Falcon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Retrô will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Retrô won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Retrô Brasil - Falcon were as follows:
    06.05.2023 Falcon - Retrô Brasil 1:1
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    Latest results of Falcon
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM11001:013
    2Manaus11001:013
    3Sao Raimundo RR10100:001
    4Manauara10100:001
    5GAS10010:1-10
    6Monte Roraima10010:1-10


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho11005:143
    2Araguaina11002:113
    3Guapore11001:013
    4Galvez10011:2-10
    5Independencia10010:1-10
    6Humaita10011:5-40


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama11002:023
    2Luverdense11002:113
    3Brasiliense10101:101
    4Primavera AC10101:101
    5Inhumas10011:2-10
    6Aparecidense10010:2-20


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital11001:013
    2Operario VG10102:201
    3Goiatuba10102:201
    4Ceilandia10100:001
    5Mixto10100:001
    6Uniao Rondonopolis10010:1-10


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguia De Maraba10101:101
    2Trem10101:101
    3Imperatriz10100:001
    4Tuna Luso10100:001
    5Tocantinopolis00000:000
    6Oratorio00000:000


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1IAPE10102:201
    2Maracana10102:201
    3Parnahyba10101:101
    4Iguatu10100:001
    5Moto Club10101:101
    6Sampaio Correa10100:001


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piaui11002:113
    2Ferroviario10101:101
    3Fluminense-PI10101:101
    4AE Altos10100:001
    5Atletico-CE10100:001
    6Tirol10011:2-10


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maguary11003:033
    2America RN11002:023
    3Central SC10101:101
    4Laguna RN10101:101
    5Sousa10010:2-20
    6ABC10010:3-30


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Treze PB11003:033
    2Sergipe10101:101
    3Lagarto10101:101
    4Decisao10101:101
    5Serra Branca10101:101
    6Retro10010:3-30


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA11003:033
    2Juazeirense11003:123
    3ASA10100:001
    4Jacuipense10100:001
    5CSE10011:3-20
    6Alagoinhas10010:3-30


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema11001:013
    2Uberlandia11001:013
    3Operario MS10101:101
    4Betim10101:101
    5CRAC10010:1-10
    6Ouvidorense10010:1-10


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto-BA11003:213
    2Tombense11001:013
    3Democrata GV11001:013
    4Rio Branco ES10012:3-10
    5Vitoria ES10010:1-10
    6Real Noroeste10010:1-10


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Agua Santa11004:043
    2Pouso Alegre11002:023
    3Portuguesa10101:101
    4Portuguesa RJ10101:101
    5Madureira10010:2-20
    6America RJ10010:4-40


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba11004:133
    2Marica11002:113
    3Sampaio Correa FE11001:013
    4Velo Clube10011:2-10
    5Noroeste10010:1-10
    6Nova Iguacu10011:4-30


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cianorte11003:123
    2Joinville11002:023
    3Cascavel11001:013
    4Santa Catarina10010:1-10
    5Guarany de Bage10011:3-20
    6Sao Luiz10010:2-20


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau11003:033
    2Brasil de Pelotas11002:113
    3Marcilio Dias10100:001
    4Sao Joseense10100:001
    5Azuriz10011:2-10
    6EC Sao Jose10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)