Retrô Brasil vs Falcon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Retrô Brasil - Falcon
Result
1:2
23/07/2023 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 14

Chances of winning


Retrô Brasil
35.3%
Draw
26.8%
Falcon
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 24.8% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 25.7% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Retrô Brasil's form might have worsened.
  • Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falcon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+23.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falcon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Retrô Brasil - Falcon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (1.58)
    3.35
    (3.63)
    2.37
    (5)
    11.4%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Recent matches Retrô is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Falcon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Falcon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Retrô will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Retrô won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Retrô Brasil - Falcon were as follows:
    06.05.2023 Falcon - Retrô Brasil 1:1
    Latest results of Retrô Brasil
    Latest results of Falcon
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1