Varbergs BoIS vs Falkenberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superettan - Round 21
  • Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
97
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
42
Goalkeeper Saves
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', Liljenback A. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 0, Kabuye C. , Hellman E. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 1, Ekblom V. , Sibelius L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 2, Andersson A. , Bertilsson N. (A),
  • 60', Dahlstrom N. 🟨,
  • 61', Winbo A. , Vidjeskog I. ,
  • 61', Loukili Z. , Edlund O. ,
  • 71', Shabani L. , Mohudin N. A. ,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Mohudin N. A. , Dahlstrom N. (A),
  • 83', Lindberg O. , Gotfredsen R. ,
  • 83', Sibelius L. , Kallstrom H. ,
  • 83', Ekblom V. , Shears I. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Liljenback A. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Liljenback A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Jonasson Westermark J. , Tellgren E. ,
  • 90+4', Kabuye C. , Zackrisson H. ,
  • 90+5', Stalheden T. , Shahin L. ,

Chances of winning


Varbergs BoIS
46%
Draw
26.3%
Falkenberg
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 25.4% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 26.2% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varbergs BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.22)
    3.53
    (3.7)
    3.34
    (2.91)
    7.4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Falkenberg will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Varberg (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varberg (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 2.
    • Recent performances by Varberg have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Falkenberg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Falkenberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Varberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 1.3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.5:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Falkenberg - Varbergs BoIS 2:2
    Latest results of Varbergs BoIS
    24.08.2025 Varbergs BoIS - Östersund 1:1
    15.08.2025 Utsikten - Varbergs BoIS 1:1
    10.08.2025 Kalmar - Varbergs BoIS 2:0
    02.08.2025 Varbergs BoIS - Örgryte 1:2
    Latest results of Falkenberg
    25.08.2025 Falkenberg - Sandviken 4:0
    19.08.2025 Sölvesborg - Falkenberg 0:2
    16.08.2025 Helsingborg - Falkenberg 0:0
    09.08.2025 Falkenberg - Brage 0:1
    04.08.2025 Umeå - Falkenberg 0:2
    Swedish Superettan Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norrkoping22007:076
    2Oddevold21106:514
    3Falkenberg21103:214
    4Ostersund21103:214
    5Orebro21101:014
    6Helsingborg21015:413
    7Nordic United21015:413
    8Sundsvall11003:213
    9Brage21014:403
    10Sandviken20204:402
    11Varberg20113:4-11
    12Ljungskile20111:2-11
    13Norrby20111:2-11
    14Oster20111:4-31
    15Landskrona20021:3-20
    16Varnamo10010:6-60

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