Result
3:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 6
- Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, Hearts TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/415) | 81% (376/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (324/415) | 81% (376/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (40/72) | 49% (33/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (84/132) | 65% (67/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (22/29) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Kyziridis A. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 0, Shankland L. ⚽,
- 45+1', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Williams E. ↓, Oliver G. ↑,
- 46', Cartwright H. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Halkett C. ⚽, Kyziridis A. (A),
- 70', Lissah F. ↓, Hart S. ↑,
- 70', MacIver R. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
- 73', McEntee O. ↓, Steinwender M. ↑,
- 74', Kyziridis A. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
- 78', Miller C. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
- 79', Braga C. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
- 89', Kingsley S. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
- 89', Shankland L. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hearts
62.2% | Draw
21.8% | Falkirk
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Hearts - Falkirk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.62) |
4.34 ↑
(3.98) |
6.01 ↑
(4.85) |
5.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hearts - Falkirk?
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hearts will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 3.
- Hearts is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Falkirk is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Falkirk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Hearts has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Hearts is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Hamstring Injury)
Fulton R.
(Groin Injury)
Kent F.
(Knee Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C.
(Groin Injury)
Lang T.
(Inactive)
Sneddon J.
(Inactive)
Stewart B.
(Injury)
Yeats F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Borchgrevink C.
(Thigh Injury)
Gordon C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kingsley S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Falkirk: Ross E.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Falkirk?
Hearts has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Hearts?
Falkirk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Falkirk were as follows:
17.08.2024
Falkirk
-
Hearts
2:0
Latest results of Falkirk
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Rangers | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Livingston | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
