Result
1:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 28
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, Hearts TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (283/400) | 72% (294/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (283/400) | 72% (294/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (26/82) | 33% (27/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (73/125) | 46% (49/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 68% (17/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', Donaldson C. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Chesnokov I. ⚽, Kyziridis A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Wilson K. ↓, Marsh L. ↑,
- 67', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 73', Spencer B. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
- 73', Miller C. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 74', Donaldson C. ↓, Allan C. ↑,
- 74', Broggio B. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 81', Steinwender M. ↓, Altena J. ↑,
- 82', Magnusson T. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
- 84', Findlay S. ↓, McCart J. ↑,
- 90+1', Tait D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Spittal B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hearts
55.1% | Draw
25% | Falkirk
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Hearts - Falkirk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.57) |
3.82 ↑
(3.76) |
4.74 ↓
(5.69) |
6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hearts - Falkirk?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Hearts (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Hearts (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hearts (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Hearts (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Hearts (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Hearts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hearts is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Devlin C.
(Ankle Injury)
Kingsley S.
(Groin Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shankland L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Falkirk: Henderson L.
(Red Card)
Parkinson B.
(Ankle Injury)
Williams E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Falkirk: Allan C.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Falkirk?
Hearts has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Hearts?
Falkirk has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Falkirk were as follows:
17.01.2026
Hearts
-
Falkirk
1:2
13.12.2025
Falkirk
-
Hearts
0:2
27.09.2025
Hearts
-
Falkirk
3:0
17.08.2024
Falkirk
-
Hearts
2:0
Latest results of Falkirk
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
