Result
4:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 23
- Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, Hibs TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (328/415) | 75% (296/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.51 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.27 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (328/415) | 75% (296/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (37/74) | 44% (31/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (76/119) | 58% (64/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 3.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Stewart B. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
- 37', Megwa K. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Stewart B. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Iredale J. ↓, Youan T. ↑,
- 47', Bushiri R. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Bushiri R. ⚽, Obita J. (A),
- 71', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 72', Megwa K. ↓, Molotnikov R. ↑,
- 74', Yeats F. ↓, Marsh L. ↑,
- 79', Wilson K. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 79', Miller C. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Stewart B. ⚽,
- 83', Barlaser D. ↓, Levitt D. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 1, Hanley G. (Own goal),
- 90', Spencer B. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
- 90', Stewart B. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
- 90+4', Marsh L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
34.4% | Draw
29.4% | Hibernian
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkirk's performance.Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hibernian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Falkirk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hibernian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Falkirk - Hibernian Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↓
(3.44) |
3.22 ↓
(3.48) |
2.6 ↑
(2.08) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Falkirk - Hibernian?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Hibernian will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Falkirk (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Falkirk (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Falkirk (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Falkirk (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 1.
- Recent performances by Falkirk have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hibernian is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Falkirk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hibernian will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Falkirk: Lang T.
(Foot Injury)
Neilson L.
(Ankle Injury)
Oliver G.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Hibernian: Campbell J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Hibernian: Mulligan J.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Hibernian?
Falkirk has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Falkirk?
Hibernian has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - Hibernian were as follows:
06.12.2025
Hibernian
-
Falkirk
3:0
23.09.2025
Falkirk
-
Hibernian
2:2
Latest results of Falkirk
Latest results of Hibernian
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
