Livingston vs Falkirk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Premier League Livingston - Falkirk
Result
3:1
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiership - Round 2
  • Referee: Graham C. (Sco)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.62
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
61% (186/307)72% (311/431)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.62
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.68
Total shots
88
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1323
Passes
61% (186/307)72% (311/431)
Long passes
31% (30/98)40% (28/70)
Passes in final third
54% (51/94)55% (89/161)
Crosses
14% (2/14)18% (6/33)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.64
Throw-ins
2430
Fouls
2315
Tackles
67% (14/21)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5972
Clearances
3821
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.682.23
Goals prevented
-0.32-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', Carey G. 🟨,
  • 14', Wilson D. , Blaney S. ,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Pittman S. , Muirhead R. (A),
  • 26', Ross E. , Agyeman A. ,
  • 37', Carey G. , Sylla M. ,
  • 44', Muirhead R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Smith L. , Tait M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', McCann L. , Mackie S. ,
  • 46', Nesbitt A. , Graham B. ,
  • 46', Montgomery A. , Montano C. ,
  • 50', Henderson L. 🟨,
  • 55', Muirhead R. (Pen),
  • 59', Spencer B. 🟨,
  • 67', Muirhead R. , Bokila J. ,
  • 67', Smith L. , Yengi T. ,
  • 68', Tait D. , Cartwright H. ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, MacIver R. , Miller C. (A),
  • 76', MacIver R. , Arfield S. ,
  • 79', Montano C. 🟨,
  • 84', Bokila J. 🟨,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Bokila J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Livingston
36.5%
Draw
27.8%
Falkirk
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 27.6% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.4% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livingston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Livingston - Falkirk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.35)
    3.35
    (3.4)
    2.64
    (2.9)
    6.5%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Livingston - Falkirk?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 4.
    • Livingston is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Falkirk is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Livingston: Kerr C. (Injury) McLennan C. (Inactive) Montano C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Falkirk: Stewart B. (Injury) Yeats F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Livingston: Denholm A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - Falkirk were as follows:
    25.03.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 1:0
    31.01.2025 Falkirk - Livingston 1:2
    16.11.2024 Livingston - Falkirk 1:0
    08.10.2024 Falkirk - Livingston 0:0
    Latest results of Livingston
    02.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 2:2
    26.07.2025 Livingston - Kelty Hearts 6:0
    19.07.2025 Livingston - Brora Rangers 2:0
    16.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 1:0
    12.07.2025 East Fife - Livingston 1:2
    Latest results of Falkirk
    03.08.2025 Falkirk - Dundee United 2:2
    26.07.2025 Falkirk - Spartans 4:0
    22.07.2025 Falkirk - Queens Park 3:1
    19.07.2025 Cove Rangers - Falkirk 0:1
    12.07.2025 Brechin City - Falkirk 0:7
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Celtic33006:069
    2Hearts32108:537
    3Hibernian21104:314
    4Livingston31115:6-14
    5Kilmarnock30304:403
    6Motherwell30304:403
    7Rangers30303:303
    8Dundee FC30212:3-12
    9St. Mirren30211:2-12
    10Dundee Utd20114:5-11
    11Falkirk20113:5-21
    12Aberdeen20020:4-40

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