Livingston vs Falkirk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston).

Premiership - Round 25
Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Falkirk TV

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.69	2.24
Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
3	3
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
6	4
Passes
70% (211/303)	79% (319/402)
Yellow cards
3	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.69	2.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	1.69
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
5	10
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
6	8
Shots outside the box
4	8
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	4
Corner kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
26	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
14	16
Passes
70% (211/303)	79% (319/402)
Long passes
30% (19/64)	58% (42/72)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)	67% (91/136)
Crosses
13% (4/30)	10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.75	1.02
Throw ins
26	17
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
82% (9/11)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
54	69
Clearances
25	51
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.69	0.85
Goals prevented
-0.31	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Wilson K. ⚽, Marsh L. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Marsh L. ⚽, Stewart B. (A),
37', Wilson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wilson K. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
47', 1 - 2, McLennan C. ⚽, McGowan R. (A),
57', Brenet J. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
59', Muirhead R. 🟨,
64', Sylla M. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
67', Marsh L. ↓, Broggio B. ↑,
67', Yeats F. ↓, Tait D. ↑,
70', McLennan C. ↓, May S. ↑,
74', Fati B. 🟨,
74', Allan C. 🟨,
80', Stewart B. 🟨,
81', McGowan R. 🟨,
85', Tait D. 🟨,
88', Allan C. ↓, Neilson L. ↑,
88', McCann L. ↓, Donaldson C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Livingston
23.1%

Draw
26.5%

Falkirk
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.4%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Livingston's form might have worsened.

Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falkirk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livingston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkirk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Livingston - Falkirk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (2.65)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	1.87 ↓ (2.5)	6.5% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Livingston - Falkirk?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Falkirk (1.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Falkirk (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Falkirk (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Falkirk will win (65 of 69 users predict this - 94.2%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.68% – 99.72%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Falkirk will win (56 of 58 users predict this - 96.55%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 63 high ROI users predict this event. Livingston (votes: 2 - 3.2%). Falkirk (votes: 61 - 96.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 4.
Livingston has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Falkirk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Livingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Livingston has had a series of home games.
Falkirk could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Livingston: Arfield S. (Injury) Denholm A. (Hamstring Injury) Montano C. (Injury)
There will not play in Falkirk: Parkinson B. (Inactive) Williams E. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Falkirk: Neilson L. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Falkirk?

Livingston has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Livingston?

Falkirk has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - Falkirk were as follows:

08.11.2025 Falkirk - Livingston 1:1

09.08.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 3:1

25.03.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 1:0

31.01.2025 Falkirk - Livingston 1:2

16.11.2024 Livingston - Falkirk 1:0

Latest results of Livingston

31.01.2026 Livingston - Motherwell 0:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Aberdeen - Livingston 6:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Livingston - St. Mirren 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Livingston - St. Mirren 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Livingston - Kilmarnock 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Falkirk

01.02.2026 Celtic - Falkirk 2:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Falkirk - Hibernian 4:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Hearts - Falkirk 1:2 ✺

14.01.2026 Falkirk - Celtic 0:1 ✺

10.01.2026 St. Mirren - Falkirk 0:2 ✺

Scottish Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hearts ✔	31	20	6	5	53:25	28	66
2	Rangers ✔	31	17	12	2	56:26	30	63
3	Celtic ✔	31	19	4	8	56:34	22	61
4	Motherwell ✔	31	14	12	5	49:23	26	54
5	Hibernian ✔	31	12	12	7	48:35	13	48
6	Falkirk	31	12	7	12	39:40	-1	43
7	Dundee Utd	31	8	13	10	40:48	-8	37
8	Dundee FC ✔	31	8	8	15	31:49	-18	32
9	Aberdeen ✔	31	8	6	17	31:46	-15	30
10	St. Mirren ✔	31	6	9	16	25:47	-22	27
11	Kilmarnock ✔	31	6	9	16	35:60	-25	27
12	Livingston ✔	31	1	12	18	31:61	-30	15

Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )