Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 5
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (372/473) | 71% (232/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (372/473) | 71% (232/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (33/75) | 53% (48/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (82/127) | 68% (93/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Fraser M. ↓, King R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 63', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 1, John D. ⚽,
- 64', Arfield S. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 69', Ayunga J. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
- 79', MacIver R. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
- 80', Miller C. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 2, Mandron M. ⚽, John D. (A),
- 84', Phillips K. 🟨,
- 87', George S. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Graham B. ⚽, McCann L. (A),
- 90', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
- 90+2', Tait D. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
42.3% | Draw
28.3% | St. Mirren
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)St. Mirren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Falkirk - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.16) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
3.23 ↓
(3.27) |
5.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Falkirk - St. Mirren?
Users Predictions:
Falkirk will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Falkirk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Falkirk: Donaldson C.
(Groin Injury)
Lang T.
(Inactive)
Lissah F.
(Ankle Injury)
Sneddon J.
(Inactive)
Stewart B.
(Injury)
Yeats F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Donnelly L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Falkirk: Ross E.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: McMenamin C.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against St. Mirren?
Falkirk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Falkirk?
St. Mirren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - St. Mirren were as follows:
Latest results of Falkirk
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | St. Mirren | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Rangers | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
