Result
0:2
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 22
- Referee: McLean S. (Sco)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/345) | 85% (477/560) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (264/345) | 85% (477/560) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 51% (35/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (72/121) | 67% (76/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', N'Lundulu D. 🟨,
- 28', Donnelly L. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
- 46', Phillips K. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 1, Yeats F. ⚽,
- 61', 0 - 2, Miller C. ⚽,
- 65', George S. ↓, Mullen R. ↑,
- 75', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 77', Miller C. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 78', Cartwright H. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 78', Yeats F. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
- 78', Stewart B. ↓, Parkinson B. ↑,
- 79', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Dijksteel M. ↑,
- 88', Bain S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lissah F. ↓, Donaldson C. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren
43.9% | Draw
29.1% | Falkirk
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
St. Mirren - Falkirk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.99) |
3.21 ↓
(3.26) |
3.43 ↓
(3.65) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Falkirk?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Falkirk will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Falkirk (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Falkirk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- St. Mirren might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J.
(Inactive)
Baccus K.
(Inactive)
O'Hara M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Falkirk: Lang T.
(Foot Injury)
MacIver R.
(Injury)
Neilson L.
(Ankle Injury)
Oliver G.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Falkirk?
St. Mirren has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against St. Mirren?
Falkirk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Falkirk were as follows:
13.09.2025
Falkirk
-
St. Mirren
1:2
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Falkirk
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 52:24 | 28 | 63 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 51:25 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 51:30 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 34:45 | -11 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 28:39 | -11 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 28 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22:43 | -21 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
