Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 31
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, St Mirren TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (347/424) | 73% (228/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (347/424) | 73% (228/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (56/92) | 36% (23/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (89/133) | 51% (42/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/27) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.54 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Stewart B. ⚽, Tait D. (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Freckleton M. ⚽, Tanser S. (A),
- 21', McCann L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Young J. ↓, Ayunga J. ↑,
- 57', Tanser S. ↓, John D. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Donnelly L. ⚽, O'Hara M. (A),
- 68', Yeats F. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 75', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Mandron M. ↑,
- 80', Devaney J. ↓, Richardson J. ↑,
- 82', Broggio B. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
- 82', Tait D. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
- 88', Stewart B. ↓, Oliver G. ↑,
- 89', Phillips K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Gogic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
54% | Draw
25.7% | St. Mirren
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Falkirk - St. Mirren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.86) |
3.68 ↑
(3.28) |
4.61 ↑
(4.23) |
6.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Falkirk - St. Mirren?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Falkirk (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Falkirk will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 3.
- Falkirk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St. Mirren is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Falkirk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Falkirk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Falkirk: MacIver R.
(Inactive)
Parkinson B.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Dijksteel M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in St. Mirren: Mandron M.
(Injury)
McMenamin C.
(Injury)
Richardson J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against St. Mirren?
Falkirk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Falkirk?
St. Mirren has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - St. Mirren were as follows:
10.01.2026
St. Mirren
-
Falkirk
0:2
13.09.2025
Falkirk
-
St. Mirren
1:2
Latest results of Falkirk
Latest results of St. Mirren
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 53:25 | 28 | 66 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 31 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 56:26 | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 56:34 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 39:40 | -1 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 40:48 | -8 | 37 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31:49 | -18 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 27 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 35:60 | -25 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 31 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 31:61 | -30 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
