Covilhã vs Farense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Covilhã - Farense
Result
1:0
26/02/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22
  • Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Covilhã
25.9%
Draw
29%
Farense
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.4% 28.1% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 27.2% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Covilhã - Farense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (4.2)
    3.16
    (3.2)
    2.04
    (1.78)
    8.8%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Covilhã - Farense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Farense will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 4).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0.
    • Recent matches Covilhã is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Farense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Farense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Farense will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Farense were as follows:
    04.09.2022 Farense - Covilhã 2:2
    Latest results of Covilhã
    18.02.2023 Penafiel - Covilhã 1:1
    11.02.2023 Covilhã - Tondela 1:0
    06.02.2023 Feirense - Covilhã 0:2
    29.01.2023 Covilhã - Porto B 1:2
    22.01.2023 Covilhã - Moreirense 0:0
    Latest results of Farense
    19.02.2023 Farense - Mafra 1:0
    29.01.2023 Torreense - Farense 1:0
    22.01.2023 Tondela - Farense 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3