Result
1:0
26/02/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 22
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Covilhã 25.9% | Draw 29% | Farense 45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Covilhã - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.55 ↓ (4.2) |
3.16 ↓ (3.2) |
2.04 ↑ (1.78) |
8.8% (11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Covilhã - Farense?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Farense will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 4).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0.
- Recent matches Covilhã is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Farense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Farense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Farense will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-10.
- Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Farense?
Covilhã has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Covilhã?
Farense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Farense were as follows:
04.09.2022
Farense
-
Covilhã
2:2
Latest results of Covilhã
Latest results of Farense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3