Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 82', 1 - 0, Debebe M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fasil Kenema 28.3% | Draw 35.7% | Saint George 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fasil Kenema's form might have worsened.Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint George's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint George, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fasil Kenema - Saint George Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.21 ↑ (2.56) |
2.55 ↓ (2.71) |
2.53 ↓ (3.05) |
10% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Fasil Kenema - Saint George?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Fasil Kenema (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Fasil Kenema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Fasil Kenema won against Saint George?
Fasil Kenema has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint George won against Fasil Kenema?
Saint George has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fasil Kenema - Saint George were as follows:
07.04.2025
Fasil Kenema
-
Saint George
2:1
22.09.2024
Saint George
-
Fasil Kenema
1:2
04.07.2024
Saint George
-
Fasil Kenema
4:0
18.01.2024
Fasil Kenema
-
Saint George
0:1
22.04.2023
Saint George
-
Fasil Kenema
1:0
Latest results of Fasil Kenema
Latest results of Saint George
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 43 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Mechal | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 20:15 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Ethiopia Bunna | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 35 |
| 9 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Adama City | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Sheger Ketema | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:27 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Welayta Dicha | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 31 |
| 15 | St. George | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 31 |
| 16 | Ethiopian Insurance | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 29 |
| 17 | Welwalo Adigrat | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 29 |
| 18 | Shire Endaselassie | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 23 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 18:31 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation