Elvas vs Fatima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group A  Elvas - Fatima
Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
34
Total shots
87
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
34
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
00
Throw-ins
00
Fouls
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 78', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Elvas
50.5%
Draw
28.4%
Fatima
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 24.8% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elvas's performance.
  • Fatima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elvas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Elvas - Fatima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.02)
    3.21
    (3.1)
    4.32
    (3.49)
    9.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Elvas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fatima is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Elvas is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elvas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Elvas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elvas - Fatima were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Fatima - Elvas 3:1
    29.03.2025 Elvas - Fatima 1:0
    08.12.2024 Fatima - Elvas 0:0
    Latest results of Elvas
    17.05.2025 Amora - Elvas 1:1
    11.05.2025 Elvas - Lusitano GC 1:4
    04.05.2025 Fatima - Elvas 3:1
    27.04.2025 Elvas - Amora 0:0
    13.04.2025 Arronches Benfica - Elvas 0:1
    Latest results of Fatima
    17.05.2025 Fatima - Lusitano GC 0:1
    11.05.2025 Amora - Fatima 2:0
    04.05.2025 Fatima - Elvas 3:1
    27.04.2025 Lusitano GC - Fatima 3:0
    13.04.2025 Mortágua - Fatima 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chaves B641110:5513
    2AD Limianos54018:4412
    3Camacha632112:5711
    4GD Braganca63128:9-110
    5Celoricense530213:769
    6SC Vianense62228:9-18
    7Machico52217:618
    8Brito62226:7-18
    9Tirsense614110:737
    10Ribeira Brava42115:7-27
    11SC Mirandela52035:506
    12Vilaverdense30120:2-21
    13Desportivo Moncao50143:12-91
    14Sao Martinho60150:10-101

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