Result
4:2
12/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (249/310) | 83% (403/483) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 65% (58/89) | 65% (83/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 23% (5/22) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 61% (14/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Araujo S. ⚽, Aguayo G. (A),
- 30', Dominguez C. (Pen),
- 38', Aguayo G. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
- 42', Gimenez G. 🟨,
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Martinez T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Lazo M. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 46', Guzman L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 46', Araujo S. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Carrizo F. ⚽, Iturbe J. (A),
- 60', Dominguez C. 🟨,
- 62', Iturbe J. ↓, Chico ↑,
- 62', Carrizo F. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
- 66', Velazquez G. 🟨,
- 69', Tandazo W. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Chico ⚽, Dominguez C. (A),
- 79', 4 - 1, Farina A. ⚽,
- 80', Dominguez C. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
- 82', Martinez T. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 82', Cabanillas N. ↓, Llontop M. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 2, Liza P. ⚽, Arias A. (A),
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
54% | Draw
27.5% | FBC Melgar
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.66) |
3.42 ↓
(3.68) |
5.1 ↑
(4.75) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
- Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Melgar is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Melgar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Melgar have a series of home games.
- In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against FBC Melgar?
Cerro Porteño has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cerro Porteño?
FBC Melgar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar were as follows:
05.03.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Cerro Porteño
0:1
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
