Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (203/268) | 86% (432/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (203/268) | 86% (432/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 57% (33/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (39/68) | 74% (97/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Perez C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Arias A. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Rasmussen M. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
- 61', Guzman L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 61', Barrios P. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 63', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
- 66', Torres R. 🟨,
- 72', Perez C. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
- 72', Torres R. ↓, Duque L. ↑,
- 72', Rasmussen M. ↓, Meza C. ↑,
- 73', Llontop M. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 76', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Liza P. ⚽, Cabanillas N. (A),
- 90+5', Flores F. ↓, Tello Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Escuela Municipal Binacional
18.2% | Draw
25.2% | FBC Melgar
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Escuela Municipal Binacional's form might have worsened.FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Escuela Municipal Binacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.11 ↑
(3.4) |
3.66 ↑
(3.3) |
1.65 ↓
(2.05) |
7.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Melgar will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): FBC Melgar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 0.
- Binacional is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Binacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Binacional won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Escuela Municipal Binacional won against FBC Melgar?
Escuela Municipal Binacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Escuela Municipal Binacional?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar were as follows:
29.10.2023
Escuela Municipal Binacional
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
10.06.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Escuela Municipal Binacional
2:1
29.09.2022
FBC Melgar
-
Escuela Municipal Binacional
2:1
Latest results of Escuela Municipal Binacional
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Cusco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Grau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
