Result
1:0
10/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (165/190) | 77% (84/109) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (165/190) | 77% (84/109) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 58% (14/24) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 70% (30/43) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 75% (3/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Avila I. 🟥,
- 32', Vidales J. 🟨,
- 35', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 42', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 45+2', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Wisdom I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vidales J. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 46', Martinez T. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 59', Gonzales C. 🟨,
- 66', Bordacahar C. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 73', Pretell J. ↓, Abram L. ↑,
- 73', Pacheco F. ↓, Yotun Y. ↑,
- 73', Gonzales C. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 76', Barrios P. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 80', Guzman L. 🟨,
- 82', Enriquez D. 🟨,
- 82', Posito Olazabal A. J. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
- 90+4', Sosa L. ↓, Ballumbrosio D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
56.3% | Draw
25.8% | FBC Melgar
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.74) |
3.82 ↑
(3.64) |
5.68 ↑
(4.7) |
3.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 1.
- Sporting Cristal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melgar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melgar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sporting Cristal is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Castro M.
(Red Card)
Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzalez S.
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Sporting Cristal will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against FBC Melgar?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Sporting Cristal?
FBC Melgar has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar were as follows:
08.03.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Sporting Cristal
1:0
21.08.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Sporting Cristal
2:0
13.03.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
23.07.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
17.02.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
FBC Melgar
1:0
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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