Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PERU: Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.00 | 1.83 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 22 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
21 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
81% (315/389) | 81% (305/376) |
Passes in the final third |
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60% (64/106) | 72% (60/83) |
Crosses |
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33% (6/18) | 28% (7/25) |
Tackles |
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67% (6/9) | 82% (9/11) |
Clearances Total |
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20 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Bordacahar C. ⚽,
- 40', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
- 40', Alcedo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Rodriguez G. ↓, Tandazo W. ↑,
- 64', Deneumostier A. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 64', Guzman L. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
- 66', Avila I. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
- 66', Cabellos C. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
- 66', Alcedo F. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
- 73', Martinez T. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 73', Orzan H. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 77', Pretell J. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
- 77', Gonzales C. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
- 90+3', Sosa L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Romero F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar 50.1% | Draw 25.8% | Sporting Cristal 24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FBC Melgar's performance.Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FBC Melgar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.88 ↓ (2.53) |
3.62 ↑ (3.36) |
3.9 ↑ (2.7) |
6.4% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melgar won 3.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Sporting Cristal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Melgar will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa L.
(Muscle Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Melgar won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Sporting Cristal?
FBC Melgar has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against FBC Melgar?
Sporting Cristal has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
21.08.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Sporting Cristal
2:0
13.03.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
FBC Melgar
1:2
23.07.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
17.02.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
FBC Melgar
1:0
06.11.2022
Sporting Cristal
-
FBC Melgar
0:2
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )