Result
1:2
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (364/448) | 76% (249/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.41 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (364/448) | 76% (249/326) |
| Long passes |
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| 44% (25/57) | 48% (26/54) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 69% (75/109) | 61% (59/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.69 | 0.85 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
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| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
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| 86% (12/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.93 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Nisbet J. ↓, Deom J. ↑,
- 45+1', Esajas M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 1 - 0, van den Hurk A. ⚽, Cooper-Love J. (A),
- 55', Griffith I. ↓, Takidine I. ↑,
- 63', Vianello D. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
- 63', Erkan M. ↓, Wildeboer T. ↑,
- 63', Marhoum Y. ↓, de Lannoy M. ↑,
- 73', van den Hurk A. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, de Lannoy M. ⚽,
- 78', Slagveer L. ↓, Pinto N. ↑,
- 78', Remans M. ↓, de Wit K. ↑,
- 79', Kuijpers J. ↓, Pata I. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Beerten L. (Own goal),
- 85', Deom J. ↓, Leijten R. ↑,
- 85', Foss J. ↓, Maiorano L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Roda
62.9% | Draw
21.1% | FC Oss
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roda's performance.FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Oss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Oss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Roda - FC Oss Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.77) |
4.41 ↑
(3.66) |
5.73 ↑
(3.8) |
7.6%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Roda - FC Oss?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Oss will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Roda (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roda will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4.
- Roda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oss is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Roda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Roda has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Oss has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Roda is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oss: Cox T.
(Broken Leg)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Roda won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against FC Oss?
Roda has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Oss won against Roda?
FC Oss has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - FC Oss were as follows:
26.09.2025
FC Oss
-
Roda
1:2
17.01.2025
FC Oss
-
Roda
0:2
16.08.2024
Roda
-
FC Oss
0:0
12.04.2024
FC Oss
-
Roda
1:4
25.08.2023
Roda
-
FC Oss
2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 71:43 | 28 | 74 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 61:53 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | Roda | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54:49 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 60:60 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55:65 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Helmond | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
