Federico Arnaboldi vs Alex Knaff – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/02/2026 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
104
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
74%74%
1st serve points won
75% (36/48)76% (38/50)
2nd serve points won
47% (8/17)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)100% (2/2)
1st return points won
24% (12/50)31% (15/48)
2nd return points won
44% (8/18)53% (9/17)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)40% (2/5)
Winners
2320
Unforced errors
2218
Net points won
71% (5/7)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
68% (44/65)71% (49/69)
Return Points Won
29% (20/69)32% (21/65)
Total Points Won
48% (64/134)52% (70/134)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
82% (9/11)100% (11/11)
Return games won
0% (0/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Federico Arnaboldi
58.8%
Alex Knaff
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Alex Knaff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Knaff than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Knaff, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Knaff Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.57)

    2.25
    (2.26)
    7.7%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Knaff?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Knaff will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Knaff (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 397. Knaff is ranked ATP: 684.
    • Arnaboldi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Knaff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Arnaboldi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Federico Arnaboldi
    Latest results of Alex Knaff
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)Bernet H. (WC)2 : 0
    2Cassone M.Nesterov P. (LL)
    3Dodig M.Forejtek J. (Q)
    4Gentzsch T.Skatov T. (7)0 : 2
    5Sachko V. (4)Brunclik P. (Q)
    6Schwaerzler J. J.Basic M. (Q)
    7Fatic N.Moro Canas A.
    8Stricker D. (WC)Grenier H. (6)
    9Rybakov A. (LL)Mrva M. (NG)
    10Bertola R.Mmoh M.1 : 2
    11Gakhov I.Piraino G. (Q)
    12Squire H.Piros Z. (3)0 : 2
    13Holmgren A. (8)Uchida K.
    14Brunold M. (WC)Knaff A. (Q)
    15Topo M.Huesler M.
    16Dietrich D. (Q)Glinka D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Budkov Kjaer N. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Skatov T. (7)
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9Mmoh M.
    6TBD #11Piros Z. (3)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2