Federico Arnaboldi vs Gabriele Pennaforti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rome Challenger Men Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti
Result
2:1
22/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
61%61%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (44/57)70% (32/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (16/37)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
30% (14/46)23% (13/57)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (16/30)57% (21/37)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
64% (60/94)61% (46/76)
Return Points Won
39% (30/76)36% (34/94)
Total Points Won
53% (90/170)47% (80/170)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
59% (17/29)41% (12/29)

Chances of winning


Federico Arnaboldi
67.4%
Gabriele Pennaforti
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Arnaboldi's performance.
  • Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriele Pennaforti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Arnaboldi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriele Pennaforti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.57)

    2.84
    (2.25)
    7.1%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Pennaforti?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Pennaforti will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 204. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 389.
    • Recent matches Arnaboldi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Pennaforti is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arnaboldi is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gabriele Pennaforti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Sultanov K.2 : 1
    2Roca Batalla O.Prihodko O. (Q)1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A.Vasami J. (WC)2 : 1
    4Bertola R. (Alt)Bouquier A. (6)2 : 0
    5Skatov T. (4)Cornut-Chauvinc A.2 : 0
    6Jubb P.Travaglia S. (Q)0 : 2
    7Hardt N.Pokorny L. (Q)0 : 2
    8Poljicak M. (Alt)Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    9Arnaboldi F. (8)Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 1
    10Shelbayh A.Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    11Kopp S. (Q)Yevseyev D.2 : 0
    12Brunold M. (Q)Habib H. (3)0 : 2
    13Gigante M. (7)Giustino L.2 : 1
    14Coppejans K. (Q)Stricker D.2 : 0
    15Maestrelli F. (Alt)Squire H.2 : 1
    16Carboni L. (WC)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Prihodko O.2 : 0
    2Pellegrino A.Bertola R.2 : 1
    3Skatov T. (WO.) (4)Travaglia S.
    4Pokorny L.Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    5Arnaboldi F. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    6Kopp S.Habib H. (3)2 : 0
    7Gigante M. (7)Coppejans K.2 : 1
    8Maestrelli F.Carboni L.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Pellegrino A.2 : 1
    2Skatov T. (4)Neumayer L. (5)0 : 2
    3Arnaboldi F. (8)Kopp S.0 : 2
    4Gigante M. (7)Maestrelli F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Gaubas V. (1)Neumayer L. (5)2 : 1
    2Kopp S.Gigante M. (WO.) (7)

    Final
    1Gaubas V. (1)Gigante M. (7)1 : 2