Federico Arnaboldi vs Henrique Rocha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lisbon Challenger Men Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha
Result
1:2
27/09/2024 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
66%47%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (29/50)79% (26/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (11/26)51% (19/37)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
21% (7/33)42% (21/50)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (18/37)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)31% (5/16)
Max Points In Row
57
Service Points Won
53% (40/76)64% (45/70)
Return Points Won
36% (25/70)47% (36/76)
Total Points Won
45% (65/146)55% (81/146)
Max Games In Row
36
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
36% (8/22)64% (14/22)

Chances of winning


Federico Arnaboldi
32.6%
Henrique Rocha
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.
  • Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henrique Rocha's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (2.41)

    1.39
    (1.5)
    6.7%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Federico Arnaboldi - Henrique Rocha?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Rocha will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 55.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 228. Rocha is ranked ATP: 168.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Rocha will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Henrique Rocha
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kopp S. (LL)Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Rincon D. (Q)Piros Z.0 : 2
    3Collignon R.Elias G. (WC)2 : 0
    4Klizan M. (Q)Kovalik J. (5)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Dalla Valle E. (Q)2 : 0
    6Ferreira Silva F. (WC)Skatov T.2 : 1
    7Roca Batalla O.Faria J.2 : 0
    8Moeller E. (LL)Pellegrino A. (9)2 : 0
    9Galan D. E. (8)Fonio G. (Q)1 : 2
    10Nava E.Gaubas V.2 : 0
    11Arnaboldi F. (Alt)Vale D. (WC)2 : 0
    12Rocha H.Seyboth Wild T. (3)2 : 0
    13Ritschard A. (7)Gea A.2 : 1
    14Novak D. (Q)Pavlovic L. (SE)1 : 2
    15Andreev A. (LL)Tabur C. (Q)1 : 2
    16Barrios Vera T.Altmaier D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Dodig M.Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Collignon R.Kovalik J. (5)2 : 0
    3Tirante T. A. (4)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    4Roca Batalla O. (RET.)Moeller E.0 : 1
    5Fonio G.Nava E.0 : 2
    6Arnaboldi F.Rocha H.1 : 2
    7Ritschard A. (7)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    8Tabur C.Barrios Vera T.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z.Collignon R.0 : 2
    2Tirante T. A. (4)Moeller E.1 : 2
    3Nava E.Rocha H.2 : 0
    4Ritschard A. (7)Barrios Vera T.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Collignon R.Moeller E.2 : 1
    2Nava E.Ritschard A. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Collignon R.Ritschard A. (7)1 : 2