Federico Arnaboldi vs John Sperle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
30
1st serve percentage
55%68%
1st serve points won
65% (35/54)66% (43/65)
2nd serve points won
56% (25/45)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
4/92/4
1st return points won
35% (23/65)39% (21/54)
2nd return points won
39% (12/31)44% (20/45)
Break Points Converted
2/45/9
Winners
3433
Unforced errors
4837
Net points won
58% (11/19)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
59% (58/98)65% (62/96)
Return Points Won
35% (34/96)41% (40/98)
Total Points Won
47% (92/194)53% (102/194)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (10/15)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)33% (5/15)
Total games won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)

Chances of winning


Federico Arnaboldi
64%
John Sperle
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Federico Arnaboldi - John Sperle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.5)

    2.6
    (2.39)
    7%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 379. Sperle is ranked ATP: 822.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Arnaboldi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of John Sperle
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2