Federico Bondioli vs Denis Yevseyev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
61%73%
1st serve points won
68% (40/59)64% (42/66)
2nd serve points won
49% (18/37)48% (12/25)
Break Points Saved
7/116/11
1st return points won
36% (24/66)32% (19/59)
2nd return points won
52% (13/25)51% (19/37)
Break Points Converted
5/114/11
Winners
3233
Unforced errors
3036
Net points won
82% (9/11)68% (17/25)
Service Points Won
60% (56/94)59% (54/91)
Return Points Won
41% (37/91)40% (38/94)
Total Points Won
50% (93/185)50% (92/185)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
01
Service games won
71% (10/14)67% (10/15)
Return games won
33% (5/15)29% (4/14)
Total games won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Federico Bondioli
64.8%
Denis Yevseyev
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Bondioli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Yevseyev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Federico Bondioli - Denis Yevseyev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.53)

    2.65
    (2.38)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bondioli is ranked ATP: 322. Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 399.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Yevseyev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bondioli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Federico Bondioli
    Latest results of Denis Yevseyev