Federico Coria vs Alejandro Tabilo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
108
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
63%61%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (45/64)67% (46/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (21/37)56% (25/45)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)75% (9/12)
1st Return Points Won
33% (23/69)30% (19/64)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (21/45)43% (16/37)
Break Points Converted
25% (3/12)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
65% (66/101)62% (71/115)
Return Points Won
38% (44/115)35% (35/101)
Total Points Won
51% (110/216)49% (106/216)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Federico Coria
40.6%
Alejandro Tabilo
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.19)

    1.61
    (1.66)
    5.2%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Tabilo will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 56.1%90.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Coria is ranked ATP: 136. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 28.
    • Recent matches Coria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tabilo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
    03.11.2023 Federico Coria - Alejandro Tabilo 1:2
    Latest results of Federico Coria
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.
    3Passaro F. (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V.
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8TBD #15Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2