Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Federico Coria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
68%65%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (26/39)51% (21/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (8/18)32% (7/22)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)60% (9/15)
1st Return Points Won
49% (20/41)33% (13/39)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (15/22)56% (10/18)
Break Points Converted
40% (6/15)80% (4/5)
Service Points Won
59% (33/56)44% (28/63)
Return Points Won
56% (35/63)41% (23/56)
Total Points Won
57% (68/119)43% (51/119)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)33% (3/9)
Return Games Won
67% (6/9)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
55.5%
Federico Coria
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.61)

    2.11
    (2.33)
    5.7%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Coria will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 42%87.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 69. Coria is ranked ATP: 136.
    • Ugo Carabelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Coria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria were as follows:
    04.02.2024 Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0:2
    13.11.2023 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria 2:0
    22.08.2023 Federico Coria - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:0
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Latest results of Federico Coria
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.
    3Passaro F. (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V.
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.
    4Prizmic D.TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8TBD #15Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2