Result
2:0
28/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (26/39) | 51% (21/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 32% (7/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 60% (9/15) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 33% (13/39) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 56% (10/18) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 80% (4/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 44% (28/63) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 41% (23/56) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (68/119) | 43% (51/119) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 40% (4/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
55.5% | Federico Coria
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Coria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.61) |
|
2.11 ↓
(2.33) |
5.7%
(5%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Coria will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 42% – 87.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 69. Coria is ranked ATP: 136.
- Ugo Carabelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Coria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Federico Coria?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Federico Coria won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Federico Coria has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Federico Coria were as follows:
04.02.2024
Federico Coria
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0:2
13.11.2023
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Federico Coria
2:0
22.08.2023
Federico Coria
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:0
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Federico Coria
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Diaz Acosta F. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Garin C. (WC) | Ficovich J. P. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Gaston H. | Etcheverry T. M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Buse I. (WC) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Heide G. (Q) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Faria J. | Darderi L. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Navone M. (6) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Moutet C. | Dzumhur D. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Meligeni Alves F. (Q) | Comesana F. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (3) | |
| 13 | Jarry N. (7) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Coria F. | Barrios Vera T. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Tabilo A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Garin C. | Etcheverry T. M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (4) | Djere L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Heide G. | Faria J. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Navone M. (6) | Dzumhur D. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Comesana F. | Baez S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monteiro T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Coria F. | Tabilo A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Djere L. | Faria J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Dzumhur D. | Baez S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Coria F. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Djere L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Baez S. (3) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Djere L. | Baez S. (3) | 2 : 1 |
