Joao Fonseca vs Federico Coria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/02/2025 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
60%62%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (33/48)70% (38/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (15/32)39% (13/33)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
30% (16/54)31% (15/48)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (20/33)53% (17/32)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
60% (48/80)59% (51/87)
Return Points Won
41% (36/87)40% (32/80)
Total Points Won
50% (84/167)50% (83/167)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
54% (14/26)46% (12/26)

Chances of winning


Joao Fonseca
82%
Federico Coria
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.
  • Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Coria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Coria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (1.39)

    5.25
    (2.67)
    5.1%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fonseca is ranked ATP: 99. Coria is ranked ATP: 115.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Fonseca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fonseca is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fonseca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Latest results of Federico Coria
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Dzumhur D.Dellien H. (Q)0 : 2
    3Barrena A. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    4Coria F. (WC)Berrettini M. (8)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Bye
    6Diaz Acosta F. (WC)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Djere L.2 : 0
    8Pellegrino A. (Q)Etcheverry T. M. (7)0 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Comesana F.2 : 0
    10Navone M.Nava E.2 : 0
    11Buse I.Passaro F. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeBaez S. (4)
    13Altmaier D. (5)Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    14Midon L. (Q)Martinez P.0 : 2
    15Barrios Vera T.Seyboth Wild T. (RET.) (LL)0 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dellien H.2 : 0
    2Kopriva V.Berrettini M. (8)2 : 0
    3Fonseca J. (3)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    4Burruchaga R. A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Navone M.2 : 0
    6Buse I.Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    8Barrios Vera T.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    2Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    4Martinez P.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (2)2 : 0