Federico Coria vs Lorenzo Sonego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Turin 2 Challenger Men Federico Coria - Lorenzo Sonego
Result
1:2
17/05/2024 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Laugero L. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
71%60%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (39/66)68% (39/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (14/27)47% (18/38)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
35% (20/57)41% (27/66)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (20/38)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)63% (5/8)
Max Points In Row
75
Service Points Won
58% (53/92)60% (56/94)
Return Points Won
40% (38/94)42% (39/92)
Total Points Won
49% (91/186)51% (95/186)
Max Games In Row
35
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Federico Coria
37.1%
Lorenzo Sonego
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7% 69.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Coria's performance.
  • Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Sonego might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Coria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Sonego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Federico Coria - Lorenzo Sonego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.95)

    1.5
    (1.36)
    6.2%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Federico Coria - Lorenzo Sonego?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Sonego will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sonego will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Federico Coria
    03.05.2024 Federico Coria - Luciano Darderi Coria F. retired
    01.05.2024 Fabio Fognini - Federico Coria Fognini F. retired
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cobolli F. (1)Bye
    2Collarini A. (Alt)Huesler M. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Cerundolo J. M.Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A. (Q)Altmaier D. (6)0 : 2
    5Etcheverry T. M. (3)Bye
    6Spizzirri E.Sachko V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Arnaboldi F. (Alt)Quinn E.2 : 1
    8Gigante M. (Alt)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Virtanen O. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Nardi L.Navone M.2 : 1
    11Vasami J. (WC)Tseng C. H.0 : 2
    12ByeSanchez Jover C. (LL)
    13Bu Y. (7)Fonio G. (Q)2 : 0
    14Prihodko O. (Q)Fognini F.0 : 2
    15Gomez F. A. (Alt)Passaro F.1 : 2
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cobolli F. (1)Collarini A.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Altmaier D. (6)0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (3)Sachko V.2 : 0
    4Arnaboldi F.Bublik A. (8)1 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Nardi L.2 : 0
    6Tseng C. H.Sanchez Jover C. (LL)2 : 0
    7Bu Y. (7)Fognini F.2 : 0
    8Passaro F.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cobolli F. (1)Altmaier D. (6)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M. (3)Bublik A. (8)1 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Tseng C. H.2 : 1
    4Bu Y. (7)Passaro F. (RET.)0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (6)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Bu Y. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bublik A. (8)Bu Y. (7)2 : 0