Federico Gaio vs Ignacio Buse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Federico Gaio - Ignacio Buse
Result
0:2
07/04/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Bueno Bermell E. (Esp)

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
67%76%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (19/33)79% (30/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (7/16)33% (4/12)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
21% (8/38)42% (14/33)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (8/12)56% (9/16)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)50% (4/8)
Max Points In Row
57
Service Points Won
53% (26/49)68% (34/50)
Return Points Won
32% (16/50)47% (23/49)
Total Points Won
42% (42/99)58% (57/99)
Max Games In Row
23
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Federico Gaio
40%
Ignacio Buse
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 53.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Federico Gaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Gaio's form might have worsened.
  • Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ignacio Buse's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Gaio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ignacio Buse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Federico Gaio - Ignacio Buse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.98)

    1.55
    (1.73)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gaio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Buse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Buse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Buse will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Federico Gaio
    Latest results of Ignacio Buse
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2