Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Felix Aliassime-Auger – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier (France), hard (indoor) - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4

Match Stats

Aces
719
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
61%74%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (44/60)78% (61/78)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (26/39)63% (17/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
22% (17/78)27% (16/60)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (10/27)33% (13/39)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
71% (70/99)74% (78/105)
Return Points Won
26% (27/105)29% (29/99)
Total Points Won
48% (97/204)52% (107/204)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
88% (14/16)100% (16/16)
Return Games Won
0% (0/16)13% (2/16)
Total Games Won
44% (14/32)56% (18/32)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
24.7%
Felix Aliassime-Auger
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8% 69.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aleksandar Kovacevic's form might have worsened.
  • Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aleksandar Kovacevic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (3.1)

    1.27
    (1.35)
    4.8%
    (6.1%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Felix Aliassime-Auger?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 102. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 23.
    • Kovacevic in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Aliassime-Auger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Aliassime-Auger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Aliassime-Auger is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovacevic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aleksandar Kovacevic - Felix Aliassime-Auger were as follows:
    14.08.2024 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Aleksandar Kovacevic 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Medjedovic H.Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    3Vavassori A. (Q)Blanchet U. (LL)0 : 2
    4Royer V.Fils A. (6)1 : 2
    5Griekspoor T. (4)Bye
    6Kecmanovic M.Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Choinski J.2 : 0
    8Kouame M. (Q)Kovacevic A. (8)1 : 2
    9Humbert U. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    10Martinez P.Mannarino A.0 : 2
    11Gea A. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (RET.)1 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (3)
    13Hurkacz H. (7)Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    14Bautista-Agut R.O'Connell C.2 : 1
    15Basilashvili N.Nardi L.0 : 2
    16ByeCobolli F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Blanchet U.Fils A. (6)0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (4)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kovacevic A. (8)2 : 1
    5Humbert U. (5)Mannarino A.1 : 2
    6Gea A.Machac T. (RET.) (3)1 : 0
    7Damm M.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    8Nardi L.Cobolli F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Fils A. (6)2 : 0
    2Griekspoor T. (4)Droguet T.0 : 2
    3Mannarino A.Gea A.2 : 1
    4Damm M.Nardi L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Droguet T.2 : 1
    2Mannarino A.Damm M.2 : 1

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mannarino A.2 : 0