Result
2:0
15/02/2026 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Eurosport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 5 |
 Sweden | TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 49% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (26/34) | 82% (18/22) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 30% (7/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 40% (2/5) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 24% (8/34) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 35% (6/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 0% (0/0) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 83% (5/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (37/51) | 56% (25/45) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 27% (14/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (57/96) | 41% (39/96) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Chances of winning
Alex De Minaur
40.5% | Felix Aliassime-Auger
59.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex De Minaur's form might have worsened.Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-2%)
Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.04) |
|
1.61 ↓
(1.79) |
4.6%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 51.9% – 83.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 10 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 Games - Aliassime-Auger (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 6 - 60%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 4 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- De Minaur is ranked ATP: 8. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 6.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 2.
- De Minaur is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aliassime-Auger is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Aliassime-Auger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Aliassime-Auger might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Aliassime-Auger will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Felix Aliassime-Auger?
Alex De Minaur has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felix Aliassime-Auger won against Alex De Minaur?
Felix Aliassime-Auger has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Felix Aliassime-Auger were as follows:
03.09.2025
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Alex De Minaur
3:1
13.05.2024
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Alex De Minaur
1:2
27.11.2022
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Alex De Minaur
2:0
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Fils A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boogaard T. (LL) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tsitsipas S. | Rinderknech A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (4) | Humbert U. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Den Ouden G. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Royer V. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Norrie C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Khachanov K. (5) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Budkov Kjaer N. (WC) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Grenier H. (Q) | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | Rottgering M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Bergs Z. | Medjedovic H. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Popyrin A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Humbert U. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Norrie C. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (5) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Struff J-L. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Humbert U. | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Munar J. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Humbert U. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (3) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
