Result
0:2
14/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Eurosport 2 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 6 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 3 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 70% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 96% (27/28) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 50% (6/12) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 47% (14/30) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 67% (4/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 4 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 92% (11/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 83% (33/40) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 18% (7/40) | 52% (23/44) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (28/84) | 67% (56/84) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 100% (8/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 80% (12/15) |
Chances of winning
Alexander Bublik
35% | Felix Aliassime-Auger
65% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.47) |
|
1.47 ↓
(1.54) |
5.2%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 67.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2.5 Games - Bublik (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Bublik (votes: 2 - 20%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 8 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Bublik is ranked ATP: 10. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 6.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 2.
- Bublik is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aliassime-Auger is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Aliassime-Auger will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Aliassime-Auger will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bublik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Felix Aliassime-Auger?
Alexander Bublik has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felix Aliassime-Auger won against Alexander Bublik?
Felix Aliassime-Auger has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alexander Bublik - Felix Aliassime-Auger were as follows:
01.11.2025
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Alexander Bublik
2:0
25.02.2025
Alexander Bublik
-
Felix Aliassime-Auger
1:2
03.02.2024
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Alexander Bublik
1:2
28.10.2022
Felix Aliassime-Auger
-
Alexander Bublik
2:0
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Fils A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boogaard T. (LL) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tsitsipas S. | Rinderknech A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (4) | Humbert U. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Den Ouden G. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Royer V. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Norrie C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Khachanov K. (5) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Budkov Kjaer N. (WC) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Grenier H. (Q) | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | Rottgering M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Bergs Z. | Medjedovic H. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Popyrin A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Humbert U. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Norrie C. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (5) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Struff J-L. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Humbert U. | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Munar J. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Humbert U. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (3) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 2 : 0 |
