Felix Aliassime-Auger vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hamburg Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev
Result
0:2
23/05/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceEurosport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
69%61%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (23/36)76% (26/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (6/16)68% (15/22)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)100% (1/1)
1st Return Points Won
24% (8/34)36% (13/36)
2nd Return Points Won
32% (7/22)63% (10/16)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)43% (3/7)
Winners
1518
Unforced Errors
2412
Net Points Won
0% (0/2)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
57% (29/51)73% (40/55)
Return Points Won
27% (15/55)43% (22/51)
Total Points Won
42% (44/106)58% (62/106)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Felix Aliassime-Auger
45.8%
Andrey Rublev
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 59.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Aliassime-Auger that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Rublev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.14)

    1.76
    (1.6)
    5%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Rublev will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rublev: 64.6%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 50%). Rublev (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 30. Rublev is ranked ATP: 17.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 0.
    • Aliassime-Auger is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rublev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aliassime-Auger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 1:2
    05.05.2024 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 1:2
    14.02.2024 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 1:2
    28.06.2023 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev 0:2
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ymer E. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.2 : 0
    4Altmaier D.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    5Rublev A. (3)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    6Struff J-L. (WC)Engel J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Dedura D. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    8Collignon R. (RET.) (Q)Nakashima B. (7)0 : 0
    9Baez S. (8)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    10Etcheverry T. M.Comesana F.2 : 0
    11Gojo B. (Q)Lehecka J.1 : 2
    12Martinez P.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    13Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Sachko V. (LL)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Giron M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    16Bu Y.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Muller A.1 : 2
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (3)Engel J.2 : 0
    4Darderi L.Nakashima B. (7)2 : 1
    5Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    6Lehecka J.Cerundolo F. (4)2 : 0
    7Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Muller A.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)1 : 2
    2Rublev A. (3)Darderi L.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    4Cobolli F.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Rublev A. (3)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cobolli F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (3)Cobolli F.0 : 2