Felix Aliassime-Auger vs Marin Cilic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
71%51%
1st serve points won
69% (34/49)67% (24/36)
2nd serve points won
50% (10/20)44% (15/34)
Break Points Saved
2/53/7
1st return points won
33% (12/36)31% (15/49)
2nd return points won
56% (19/34)50% (10/20)
Break Points Converted
4/73/5
Winners
2121
Unforced errors
2428
Net points won
75% (3/4)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
64% (44/69)57% (39/69)
Return Points Won
43% (30/69)36% (25/69)
Total Points Won
54% (74/138)46% (64/138)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
73% (8/11)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)27% (3/11)
Total games won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Felix Aliassime-Auger
68.1%
Marin Cilic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 37.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felix Aliassime-Auger's performance.
  • Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marin Cilic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Aliassime-Auger that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marin Cilic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.55)

    2.99
    (2.49)
    4.6%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • H/A, 1st Set - Cilic (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 3 - 75%). Cilic (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 7. Cilic is ranked ATP: 51.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 3.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cilic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Aliassime-Auger is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic were as follows:
    23.10.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic 2:0
    27.02.2025 Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic 2:1
    Latest results of Felix Aliassime-Auger
    Latest results of Marin Cilic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2