Felix Gill vs Federico Arnaboldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
63
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
68%65%
1st serve points won
80% (48/60)63% (40/64)
2nd serve points won
39% (11/28)56% (19/34)
Break Points Saved
6/87/10
1st return points won
41% (26/64)20% (12/60)
2nd return points won
44% (15/34)61% (17/28)
Break Points Converted
3/102/8
Winners
2720
Unforced errors
3545
Net points won
83% (10/12)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
67% (59/88)60% (58/96)
Return Points Won
40% (38/96)33% (29/88)
Total Points Won
53% (97/184)47% (87/184)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
86% (12/14)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)14% (2/14)
Total games won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Felix Gill
74%
Federico Arnaboldi
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felix Gill that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Felix Gill - Federico Arnaboldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.3)

    3.57
    (3.18)
    7.7%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gill is ranked ATP: 253. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 385.
    • Gill is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Arnaboldi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gill may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gill is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Felix Gill
    03.03.2026 Felix Gill - Max Basing Canceled
    01.03.2026 Federico Cina - Felix Gill 2:1
    28.02.2026 Felix Gill - Edas Butvilas 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Hassan B.2 : 1
    2Wessels L. (Q)Houkes M.0 : 2
    3Llamas Ruiz P.Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL)2 : 0
    4Damas M.Choinski J. (6)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Ferreira Silva F. (Q)2 : 0
    6Brancaccio R. (WC)Sanchez Quilez A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Butvilas E.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    8Sanchez Izquierdo N.Carballes Baena R. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Engel J.Shelbayh A. (Alt)2 : 1
    11Gill F. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    13Moller E. (5)Coppejans K.0 : 2
    14Gakhov I.Negritu Ch. (Q)0 : 2
    15Bailly G. A.Purtseladze S. (LL)2 : 1
    16Moro Canas A.Gaubas V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Houkes M.2 : 0
    2Llamas Ruiz P.Choinski J. (6)2 : 1
    3Ofner S. (4)Brancaccio R.2 : 0
    4Kukushkin M.Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    5Pellegrino A. (7)Engel J.2 : 1
    6Gill F.Carreno-Busta P. (3)1 : 2
    7Coppejans K.Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    8Bailly G. A.Moro Canas A.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Llamas Ruiz P.2 : 0
    2Ofner S. (4)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    3Pellegrino A. (7)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    4Coppejans K.Bailly G. A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1De Jong J. (1)Carballes Baena R. (8)1 : 2
    2Carreno-Busta P. (3)Coppejans K.2 : 0

    Final
    1Carballes Baena R. (8)Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2