Fenerbahçe vs Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
05/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
60.7%
Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.
  • Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fenerbahçe - Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.35)

    2.35
    (2.84)
    8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.
    • In recent matches, Fenerbahçe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Spor Toto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fenerbahçe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 41:28. (average 2.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:16. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango were as follows:
    18.01.2026 Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango - Fenerbahçe 3:1
    29.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango 3:0
    09.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango 3:1
    18.02.2025 Fenerbahçe - Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango 3:2
    25.01.2025 Fenerbahçe - Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango 3:1
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    25.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Cizre Bld Fenerbahce awarded
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Ziraat BankasiAltekma3 : 0
    2Alanya BldIstanbul GSK0 : 3
    3GalatasarayIstanbul BB3 : 2
    4FenerbahceSpor Toto3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ziraat BankasiIstanbul GSK
    2GalatasarayFenerbahce

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2