Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/08/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Sturm Graz
24.7%

Draw
24.8%

Fenerbahçe
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

25.5%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

25.1%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Sturm Graz - Fenerbahçe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.84)	3.82 ↑ (3.71)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)	5.4% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Fenerbahçe?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 0-2.
Sturm is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fenerbahçe is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Fenerbahçe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sturm has had a series of away games.
In this match, Fenerbahçe is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home match between the teams, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Fenerbahçe?

Sturm Graz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Sturm Graz?

Fenerbahçe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Fenerbahçe were as follows:

05.08.2026 Fenerbahçe - Sturm Graz 2:0

Latest results of Sturm Graz

08.08.2026 Hartberg - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺

05.08.2026 Fenerbahçe - Sturm Graz 2:0 ✺

01.08.2026 Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz 1:1 ✺

28.07.2026 Hearts - Sturm Graz 0:2 ✺

24.07.2026 Seekirchen - Sturm Graz 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Fenerbahçe

05.08.2026 Fenerbahçe - Sturm Graz 2:0 ✺

29.07.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Fenerbahçe 1:1 ✺

21.07.2026 Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze 1:0 ✺

14.07.2026 LASK Linz - Fenerbahçe 1:2 ✺

11.07.2026 Fenerbahçe - Pogoń Szczecin 4:0 ✺

Draw

2026/27

1/8-finals

1	Borac Banja Luka	Levski Sofia	0 : 4, 1 : 1
2	ML Vitebsk	Univ. Craiova	0 : 1, 1 : 4
3	Omonia	Bye
4	Kairat Almaty	Sutjeska	2 : 0, 2 : 1
8	Bye	AEK Athens
9	Celtic	Bye
16	Bye	LASK
17	Thun	Bye
18	Bye	Din. Zagreb
19	Klaksvik	Bissen	2 : 1, 2 : 1
20	Kauno Zalgiris	Drita	3 : 2, 1 : 1
24	Bye	Viking
25	Mjallby	Bye
26	Lincoln Red Imps	Inter Escaldes	1 : 1, 3 : 1
27	Flora	Iberia 1999	2 : 2, 2 : 3
28	Bye	Slovan Bratislava
29	Ararat-Armenia	Riga FC	2 : 3, 2 : 0
30	Floriana	Shamrock Rovers	1 : 5, 2 : 0
31	Petrocub	Egnatia	1 : 6, 1 : 1
32	Bye	Celje
33	Vikingur Reykjavik	Gyor	2 : 2, 1 : 0
34	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
35	Tre Fiori	Larne	1 : 2, 0 : 1
36	Bye	Crvena zvezda
37	Aarhus	Bye
38	Bye	Lech Poznan
39	Sabah Baku	TNS	2 : 1, 2 : 0
40	Vardar	KuPS	3 : 2, 0 : 2
41	Fenerbahce	Bye
42	Bye	Gornik Zabrze
43	Sturm Graz	Bye
44	Bye	Hearts
45	Sparta Prague	Bye
48	Bye	Lyon
49	Olympiacos Piraeus	Bye
52	Bye	Nijmegen
53	Royale Union SG	Bye
56	Bye	Bodo/Glimt

Quarter-finals

1	Levski Sofia	Univ. Craiova	2 : 2, 1 : 0
2	Omonia	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	AEK Athens
5	Celtic	Bye
8	Bye	LASK
9	Thun	Din. Zagreb	2 : 3, 1 : 1
10	Klaksvik	Kauno Zalgiris	0 : 1, 0 : 0
12	Bye	Viking
13	Mjallby	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 0, 3 : 0
14	Iberia 1999	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 0 : 2
15	Ararat-Armenia	Shamrock Rovers	1 : 2, 2 : 0
16	Egnatia	Celje	2 : 3, 3 : 3
17	Vikingur Reykjavik	H. Beer Sheva	0 : 2, 2 : 1
18	Larne	Crvena zvezda	0 : 5, 0 : 4
19	Aarhus	Lech Poznan	5 : 1, 1 : 4
20	Sabah Baku	KuPS	2 : 0, 1 : 0
21	Fenerbahce	Gornik Zabrze	1 : 1, 1 : 0
22	Sturm Graz	Hearts	2 : 0, 4 : 0
23	Sparta Prague	Bye
24	Bye	Lyon
25	Olympiacos Piraeus	Bye
26	Bye	Nijmegen
27	Royale Union SG	Bye
28	Bye	Bodo/Glimt

Semi-finals

1	Levski Sofia	Kairat Almaty	1 : 0
2	Bye	AEK Athens
3	Celtic	Bye
4	Bye	LASK
5	Din. Zagreb	Kauno Zalgiris	5 : 0
6	Bye	Viking
7	Mjallby	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 2
8	Ararat-Armenia	Celje	2 : 1
9	H. Beer Sheva	Crvena zvezda	1 : 0
10	Aarhus	Sabah Baku	2 : 1
11	Fenerbahce	Sturm Graz	2 : 0
12	Sparta Prague	Lyon	2 : 1
13	Olympiacos Piraeus	Nijmegen	0 : 0
14	Royale Union SG	Bodo/Glimt	3 : 3

Final

1	TBD #1	AEK Athens
2	Celtic	LASK
3	TBD #5	Viking
4	TBD #7	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14