Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.39 | 1.14 |
Ball Possession |
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64% | 36% |
Total shots |
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20 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Passes |
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82% (392/477) | 72% (188/260) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.39 | 1.14 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.95 | 1.73 |
Total shots |
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20 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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14 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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41 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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23 | 15 |
Passes |
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82% (392/477) | 72% (188/260) |
Long passes |
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49% (22/45) | 43% (23/54) |
Passes in final third |
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74% (111/151) | 64% (59/92) |
Crosses |
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24% (6/25) | 32% (8/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.99 | 0.93 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 13 |
Fouls |
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16 | 23 |
Tackles |
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78% (7/9) | 47% (7/15) |
Duels won |
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63 | 57 |
Clearances |
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28 | 31 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
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1.73 | 1.95 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.27 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Lukacs D. ⚽, Duarte L. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Cadu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pesic A. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
- 65', Keita N. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
- 65', Gruber Z. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
- 65', Zachariassen K. ↓, Otvos B. ↑,
- 65', Duarte L. ↓, Harutyunyan G. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Lukacs D. ⚽, Favorov A. (A),
- 72', Fameyeh J. ↓, Colley L. ↑,
- 72', Dardai P. ↓, Szolnoki R. ↑,
- 76', Soisalo M. 🟨,
- 76', Harutyunyan G. 🟨,
- 78', Botka E. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
- 83', Soisalo M. ↓, Vekony B. ↑,
- 83', Markgraf A. ↓, Ormonde-Ottewill B. ↑,
- 89', Favorov A. 🟨,
- 89', Cadu 🟨,
- 90+4', Joseph L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ferencvárosi 56.3% | Draw 24.1% | Puskás Academy 19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Puskás Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)The ML Model estimate for Puskás Academy aligns with the current prediction.
Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.64 ↑ (1.62) |
3.85 ↓ (4.18) |
4.81 ↑ (4.59) |
7.8% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Puskas Academy will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Puskas Academy (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 1.
- Ferencvárosi is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Puskas Academy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferencvárosi is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Ferencvárosi will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Puskás Academy?
Ferencvárosi has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puskás Academy won against Ferencvárosi?
Puskás Academy has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy were as follows:
03.05.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Puskás Academy
1:1
09.02.2025
Puskás Academy
-
Ferencvárosi
1:0
29.09.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Puskás Academy
3:0
17.03.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Puskás Academy
1:1
26.11.2023
Puskás Academy
-
Ferencvárosi
1:1
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Latest results of Puskás Academy
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Paks | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:9 | 9 | 14 |
2 | Ferencvaros | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 10 |
3 | Debrecen | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
4 | Puskas Academy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
5 | Kisvarda | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Gyor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 9 |
7 | Ujpest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MTK Budapest | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
9 | DVTK | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
10 | Nyiregyhaza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
11 | Zalaegerszegi | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 4 |
12 | Kazincbarcikai | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.