Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (392/477) | 72% (188/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 41 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 23 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (392/477) | 72% (188/260) |
| Long passes |
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| 49% (22/45) | 43% (23/54) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 74% (111/151) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
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| 24% (6/25) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 19 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Tackles |
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| 78% (7/9) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 63 | 57 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.73 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.27 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Lukacs D. ⚽, Duarte L. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Cadu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pesic A. ↓, Varga B. ↑,
- 65', Keita N. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
- 65', Gruber Z. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
- 65', Zachariassen K. ↓, Otvos B. ↑,
- 65', Duarte L. ↓, Harutyunyan G. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Lukacs D. ⚽, Favorov A. (A),
- 72', Fameyeh J. ↓, Colley L. ↑,
- 72', Dardai P. ↓, Szolnoki R. ↑,
- 76', Soisalo M. 🟨,
- 76', Harutyunyan G. 🟨,
- 78', Botka E. ↓, Arzani D. ↑,
- 83', Soisalo M. ↓, Vekony B. ↑,
- 83', Markgraf A. ↓, Ormonde-Ottewill B. ↑,
- 89', Favorov A. 🟨,
- 89', Cadu 🟨,
- 90+4', Joseph L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ferencvárosi
56.3% | Draw
24.1% | Puskás Academy
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Puskás Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)The ML Model estimate for Puskás Academy aligns with the current prediction.
Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.62) |
3.85 ↓
(4.18) |
4.81 ↑
(4.59) |
7.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Puskas Academy will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferencvárosi (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Puskas Academy (votes: 4 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 1.
- Ferencvárosi is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Puskas Academy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferencvárosi is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Ferencvárosi will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Puskás Academy?
Ferencvárosi has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puskás Academy won against Ferencvárosi?
Puskás Academy has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy were as follows:
03.05.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Puskás Academy
1:1
09.02.2025
Puskás Academy
-
Ferencvárosi
1:0
29.09.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Puskás Academy
3:0
17.03.2024
Ferencvárosi
-
Puskás Academy
1:1
26.11.2023
Puskás Academy
-
Ferencvárosi
1:1
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Latest results of Puskás Academy
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Debrecen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | Gyor | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 12 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | MTK Budapest | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Puskas Academy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 7 | Kisvarda | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | DVTK | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12:16 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
