Fernwald vs Erlensee – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
06/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Oberliga Hessen - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Sabate D. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Mukasa B. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', 3 - 0, Hofmann J. ,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Siebert D. ,

Chances of winning


Fernwald
57.1%
Draw
21.7%
Erlensee
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 22.7% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 21.3% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fernwald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Erlensee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fernwald than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fernwald that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlensee than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Fernwald - Erlensee Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.72)
    4.23
    (4.06)
    4.33
    (3.86)
    8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fernwald won 0.
    • Recent matches Fernwald is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Erlensee is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fernwald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Fernwald is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Fernwald won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-14.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fernwald won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fernwald - Erlensee were as follows:
    16.09.2023 Erlensee - Fernwald 2:1
    18.03.2023 Erlensee - Fernwald 4:1
    03.09.2022 Fernwald - Erlensee 3:3
    Latest results of Fernwald
    Latest results of Erlensee
    28.03.2024 Erlensee - Gießen 1:4
    09.03.2024 Waldgirmes - Erlensee 2:0
    German Oberliga Hessen Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt II27233176:225472
    2Eddersheim27176464:343057
    3Giessen26153860:441647
    4Baunatal27136853:391444
    5Pohlheim26127758:411743
    6Hunfelder271331152:411142
    7Stadtallendorf271010738:34440
    8RW Walldorf271161069:61839
    9Friedberg271151139:46-738
    10Fernwald271061150:42836
    11Hanauer SC271031436:55-1933
    12VfB Marburg27951333:47-1432
    13Hummetroth261041244:45-131
    14CSC 03 Kassel27871243:61-1831
    15Darmstadt U2126761348:58-1027
    16Waldgirmes27761434:51-1727
    17Weidenhausen27371729:68-3916
    18Hanau27271827:64-3712

          Promotion ~ Regionalliga Sudwest
          Promotion ~ Oberliga Play Offs
          Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)
          Relegation